Completed
According to Climate Stabilization Targets: Emissions, Concentrations, and Impacts Over Decades to Millennia, important policy decisions can be informed by recent advances in climate science that quantify the relationships between increases in carbon dioxide and global warming, related climate changes, and resulting impacts. One way to inform these choices is to consider the projected climate changes and impacts that would occur if greenhouse gases in the atmosphere were stabilized at a particular concentration level. The book quantifies the outcomes of different stabilization targets for greenhouse gas concentrations using analyses and information drawn from the scientific literature.
Featured publication
Consensus
·2011
Emissions of carbon dioxide from the burning of fossil fuels have ushered in a new epoch where human activities will largely determine the evolution of Earth's climate. Because carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is long lived, it can effectively lock the Earth and future generations into a range of im...
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Description
The stabilization of atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations and the avoidance of serious or irreversible impacts on the earth’s climate system are a matter of critical concern in both scientific and policy arenas. Using the most current science available, this study will evaluate the implications of different atmospheric concentration target levels and explain the uncertainties inherent in the analyses to assist policy makers as they make decisions about stabilization target levels for atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations.
This study will:
- Evaluate a range of greenhouse gas stabilization targets and describe the types and scales of impacts likely associated with different ranges, including discussion of the associated uncertainties, timescale of impacts, and potential serious or irreversible impacts.*
This study will focus on evaluating the implications of a range of GHG stabilization targets, but it will not involve the committee’s assessment of what stabilization targets are technically feasible nor their normative judgment on what targets are most appropriate.
* This study will consider cumulative emissions of the ‘basket’ of gases considered in the Kyoto protocol (CO2, CH4, N2O, HFCs, PFCs, SF6). Any particular overall stabilization target could include varying combinations of emissions targets for the different gases.
Contributors
Committee
Chair
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Committee Membership Roster Comments
Note: There has been a change in committee membership with the appointment of Dr. Terry Root effective 08/13/2009.
Note: There has been a change in committee membership with the appointment of Dr. Konrad Steffen effective 08/28/2009.
Sponsors
Energy Foundation
Environmental Protection Agency
Staff
Chris Elfring
Lead
Major units and sub-units
Division on Earth and Life Studies
Lead
Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education
Lead