Completed
Accurate forecasts of the likelihood and magnitude of a volcanic eruption in a specified timeframe are rooted in a scientific understanding of the processes that govern the storage, ascent, and eruption of magma. Yet our understanding of volcanic systems is incomplete and biased by the limited number of volcanoes and eruption styles observed with advanced instrumentation. This report identifies key science questions, research and observation priorities, and approaches for building a volcano science community capable of tackling them, and presents goals for making major advances in volcano science.
Featured publication
Consensus
·2017
Volcanic eruptions are common, with more than 50 volcanic eruptions in the United States alone in the past 31 years. These eruptions can have devastating economic and social consequences, even at great distances from the volcano. Fortunately many eruptions are preceded by unrest that can be detected...
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Description
An ad hoc committee will examine fundamental research needed to improve understanding of the processes that initiate, sustain, and end volcanic eruptions and the relationships between those processes and observed eruption precursors. In particular, the committee will undertake the following tasks:
• Summarize current understanding of how magma is stored, ascends, and erupts.
• Discuss new disciplinary and interdisciplinary research on volcanic processes and precursors that could lead to forecasts of the type, size, and timing of volcanic eruptions.
• Describe new observations or instrument deployment strategies that could improve quantification of volcanic eruption processes and precursors.
• Identify priority research and observations needed to improve understanding of volcanic eruptions and to inform monitoring and early warning efforts.
Contributors
Committee
Chair
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Sponsors
NASA
National Academy of Sciences Arthur L. Day Fund
National Science Foundation
United States Geological Survey
Staff
Anne Linn
Lead