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This report provides an assessment of both the demonstrated and underdeveloped potential of the deep-time geologic record to inform us about the dynamics of the global climate system. The report describes past climate changes, and discusses potential impacts of high levels of atmospheric greenhouse gases on regional climates, water resources, marine and terrestrial ecosystems, and the cycling of life-sustaining elements. While revealing gaps in scientific knowledge of past climate states, the report highlights a range of high priority research issues with potential for major advances in the scientific understanding of climate processes.
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Consensus
ยท2011
There is little dispute within the scientific community that humans are changing Earth's climate on a decadal to century time-scale. By the end of this century, without a reduction in emissions, atmospheric CO2 is projected to increase to levels that Earth has not experienced for more than 30 millio...
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Description
The geologic record contains physical, chemical, and biological indicators of a range of past climate states. As recent changes in atmospheric composition cause earth's climate to change, and amid suggestions that future change may cause the earth to transition to a climatic state that is dramatically different to that of the recent past, there is an increasing focus on the geologic record as a repository of critical information for understanding the likely parameters and impacts of future change. To further our understanding of past climates, their signatures, and key environmental forcing parameters and their impact on ecosystems, an NRC study will:* Assess the present state of knowledge of earth's deep-time paleoclimate record, with particular emphasis on the transition periods of major paleoclimate change.* Describe opportunities for high priority research, with particular emphasis on collaborative multidisciplinary activities. * Outline the research and data infrastructure that will be required to accomplish the priority research objectives. The report should also include concepts and suggestions for an effective education and outreach program.The approximate start date for the project is September 30, 2007The project is sponsored by the National Science Foundation, the Department of the Interior's U.S. Geological Survey, and the Chevron Corporation.A final report will be issued approximately 18 months after project initiation.Update 10/4/10: The project duration has been extended. The report is expected to be issued by 3/1/11.
Contributors
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Committee Membership Roster Comments
Dr. Isabel Montanez has been appointed as the new chair of this committee. Dr. Richard Norris stepped down as chair and has become a member of the committee. The effective date of this change of chairmanship is 1/18/2010.
Sponsors
National Science Foundation
United States Geological Survey
Staff
David Feary
Lead
Major units and sub-units
Division on Earth and Life Studies
Lead
Board on Earth Sciences and Resources
Lead