Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

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SCIENTIFIC EVALUATION OF BIOLOGICAL OPINIONS ON ENDANGERED AND THREATENED FISHES IN THE KLAMATH RIVER BASIN

INTERIM REPORT

Committee on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin

Board on Environmental Studies and Toxicology

Division on Earth and Life Studies
National Research Council


NATIONAL ACADEMY PRESS
WASHINGTON, D.C.

Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

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    NATIONAL ACADEMY PRESS 2101 Constitution Ave., N.W. Washington, D.C. 20418

    NOTICE: The project that is the subject of this report was approved by the Governing Board of the National Research Council, whose members are drawn from the councils of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine. The members of the committee responsible for the report were chosen for their special competences and with regard for appropriate balance.

    This project was supported by Grant No. 98210–1–G092 between the National Academy of Sciences and the U.S. Department of the Interior and the U.S. Department of Commerce. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the view of the organizations or agencies that provided support for this project.

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Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

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    THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES

    National Academy of Sciences

    National Academy of Engineering

    Institute of Medicine

    National Research Council

    The National Academy of Sciences is a private, nonprofit, self-perpetuating society of distinguished scholars engaged in scientific and engineering research, dedicated to the furtherance of science and technology and to their use for the general welfare. Upon the authority of the charter granted to it by the Congress in 1863, the Academy has a mandate that requires it to advise the federal government on scientific and technical matters. Dr. Bruce M. Alberts is president of the National Academy of Sciences.

    The National Academy of Engineering was established in 1964, under the charter of the National Academy of Sciences, as a parallel organization of outstanding engineers. It is autonomous in its administration and in the selection of its members, sharing with the National Academy of Sciences the responsibility for advising the federal government. The National Academy of Engineering also sponsors engineering programs aimed at meeting national needs, encourages education and research, and recognizes the superior achievements of engineers. Dr. Wm.A.Wulf is president of the National Academy of Engineering.

    The Institute of Medicine was established in 1970 by the National Academy of Sciences to secure the services of eminent members of appropriate professions in the examination of policy matters pertaining to the health of the public. The Institute acts under the responsibility given to the National Academy of Sciences by its congressional charter to be an adviser to the federal government and, upon its own initiative, to identify issues of medical care, research, and education. Dr. Kenneth I.Shine is president of the Institute of Medicine.

    The National Research Council was organized by the National Academy of Sciences in 1916 to associate the broad community of science and technology with the Academy's purposes of furthering knowledge and advising the federal government. Functioning in accordance with general policies determined by the Academy, the Council has become the principal operating agency of both the National Academy of Sciences and the National Academy of Engineering in providing services to the government, the public, and the scientific and engineering communities. The Council is administered jointly by both Academies and the Institute of Medicine. Dr. Bruce M.Alberts and Dr. Wm.A.Wulf are chairman and vice chairman, respectively, of the National Research Council.

Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

Page iv

Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

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COMMITTEE ON ENDANGERED AND THREATENED FISHES IN THE KLAMATH RIVER BASIN

Members

WILLIAM M. LEWIS, J R . (Chair), University of Colorado, Boulder

RICHARD M. ADAMS, Oregon State University, Corvallis

ELLIS B. COWLING, North Carolina State University, Raleigh

EUGENE S. HELFMAN, University of Georgia, Athens

CHARLES D.D. HOWARD, Consulting Engineer, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada

ROBERT J. HUGGETT, Michigan State University, East Lansing

NANCY E. LANGSTON, University of Wisconsin, Madison

JEFFREY F. MOUNT, University of California, Davis

PETER B. MOYLE, University of California, Davis

TAMMY J. NEWCOMB, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg

MICHAEL L. PACE, Institute for Ecosystem Studies, Millbrook, New York

J.B. RUHL, Florida State University, Tallahassee

Staff

SUZANNE VAN DRUNICK, Project Director

RUTH E. CROSSGROVE, Editor

JENNIFER SAUNDERS, Research Assistant

MIRSADAK ARALIC-LONCAREVIC, Research Assistant

HEATHER A. MCDONALD, Project Assistant

KELLY CLARK, Editorial Assistant

Sponsors

NATIONAL MARINE FISHERIES SERVICE

U.S. BUREAU OF RECLAMATION

U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE

Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

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Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

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BOARD ON ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES AND TOXICOLOGY 1

Members

GORDON ORIANS (Chair), University of Washington, Seattle

JOHN DOULL (Vice Chair), University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City

DAVID ALLEN, University of Texas, Austin

INGRID C. BURKE, Colorado State University, Fort Collins

THOMAS BURKE, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland

WILLIAM L. CHAMEIDES, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta

CHRISTOPHER B. FIELD, Carnegie Institute of Washington, Stanford, California

J. PAUL GlLMAN, Celera Genomics, Rockville, Maryland

DANIEL S. GREENBAUM, Health Effects Institute, Cambridge, Massachusetts

BRUCE D. HAMMOCK, University of California, Davis

ROGENE HENDERSON, Lovelace Respiratory Research Institute, Albuquerque, New Mexico

CAROL HENRY, American Chemistry Council, Arlington, Virginia

ROBERT HUGGETT, Michigan State University, East Lansing

JAMES H. JOHNSON, Howard University, Washington, District of Columbia

JAMES F. KITCHELL, University of Wisconsin, Madison

DANIEL KREWSKI, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario

JAMES A. MACMAHON, Utah State University, Logan

WlLLEM F. PASSCHIER, Health Council of the Netherlands, The Hague, Netherlands

ANN POWERS, Pace University School of Law, White Plains, New York

LOUISE M. RYAN, Harvard University, Boston, Massachusetts

KIRK SMITH, University of California, Berkeley

LISA SPEER, Natural Resources Defense Council, New York, New York

Senior Staff

JAMES J. REISA, Director

DAVID J. POLICANSKY, Associate Director and Senior Program Director for Applied Ecology

RAYMOND A. WASSEL, Senior Program Director for Environmental Sciences and Engineering

KULBIR BAKSHI, Program Director for Committee on Toxicology

ROBERTA M. WEDGE, Program Director for Risk Analysis

K. JOHN HOLMES, Senior Staff Officer

SUZANNE VAN DRUNICK, Senior Staff Officer

RUTH E. CROSSGROVE, Managing Editor

1This study was planned, overseen, and supported by the Board on Environmental Studies and Toxicology.

Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

Page viii

Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

Page ix

OTHER REPORTS OF THE BOARD ON ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES AND TOXICOLOGY

The Airliner Cabin Environment and Health of Passengers and Crew (2002)

Arsenic in Drinking Water: 2001 Update (2001)

Evaluating Vehicle Emissions Inspection and Maintenance Programs (2001)

Compensating for Wetland Losses Under the Clean Water Act (2001)

A Risk-Management Strategy for PCB-Contaminated Sediments (2001)

Toxicological Effects of Methylmercury (2000)

Strengthening Science at the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency: Research-Management and Peer-Review Practices (2000)

Scientific Frontiers in Developmental Toxicology and Risk Assessment (2000)

Modeling Mobile-Source Emissions (2000)

Toxicological Risks of Selected Flame-Retardant Chemicals (2000)

Copper in Drinking Water (2000)

Ecological Indicators for the Nation (2000)

Waste Incineration and Public Health (1999)

Hormonally Active Agents in the Environment (1999)

Research Priorities for Airborne Particulate Matter: I. Immediate Priorities and a Long-Range Research Portfolio (1998); II. Evaluating Research Progress and Updating the Portfolio (1999); III. Early Research Progress (2001)

Ozone-Forming Potential of Reformulated Gasoline (1999)

Risk-Based Waste Classification in California (1999)

Arsenic in Drinking Water (1999)

Brucellosis in the Greater Yellowstone Area (1998)

The National Research Council's Committee on Toxicology: The First 50 Years (1997)

Carcinogens and Anticarcinogens in the Human Diet (1996)

Upstream: Salmon and Society in the Pacific Northwest (1996)

Science and the Endangered Species Act (1995)

Wetlands: Characteristics and Boundaries (1995)

Biologic Markers (5 reports, 1989–1995)

Review of EPA's Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Program (3 reports, 1994–1995)

Science and Judgment in Risk Assessment (1994)

Ranking Hazardous Waste Sites for Remedial Action (1994)

Pesticides in the Diets of Infants and Children (1993)

Setting Priorities for Land Conservation (1993)

Protecting Visibility in National Parks and Wilderness Areas (1993)

Dolphins and the Tuna Industry (1992)

Science and the National Parks (1992)

Assessment of the U.S. Outer Continental Shelf Environmental Studies Program, Volumes I-IV (1991–1993)

Human Exposure Assessment for Airborne Pollutants (1991)

Rethinking the Ozone Problem in Urban and Regional Air Pollution (1991)

Decline of the Sea Turtles (1990)

Copies of these reports may be ordered from the National Academy Press

(800) 624–6242 or (202) 334–3313

www.nap.edu

Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

Page x

Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

Page xi

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

This project was supported by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, and National Marine Fisheries Service. We are thankful for the assistance provided by the Bureau of Indian Affairs in planning the first meeting.

We are grateful for the informative briefings provided by the following individuals:

Michael Belchik, Water Management and Rights Protection Division

James Carpenter, Carpenter Design Inc.

Paul Cleary, Oregon Department of Water Resources

John Crawford, Tule Lake Irrigation District

Larry Dunsmoor, The Klamath Tribes Natural Resources

Thomas Hardy, Utah Water Research Laboratory

Jacob Kann, Aquatic Ecosystems Sciences, LLC

Ron Larson, Klamath Falls Fish and Wildlife Office

Steven Lewis, Klamath Falls Fish and Wildlife Office

Todd Olson, PacifiCorp

Felice Pace, Klamath Forest Alliance

Donald Reck, National Marine Fisheries Service

Michael Ryan, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation

Kenneth Rykbost, Oregon State University Klamath Experiment Station

Rip Shively, U.S. Geological Survey, Klamath Field Station

Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

Page xii

Glen Spain, Pacific Coast Federation of Fishermen's Associations

Sue Ellen Wooldridge, U.S. Department of Interior

The committee's work also benefited from the written and oral testimony submitted by the public, and we appreciate their participation.

Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

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ACKNOWLEDGMENT OF REVIEW PARTICIPANTS

This report has been reviewed in draft form by individuals chosen for their diverse perspectives and technical expertise, in accordance with procedures approved by the NRC's Report Review Committee. The purpose of this independent review is to provide candid and critical comments that will assist the institution in making its published report as sound as possible and to ensure that the report meets institutional standards for objectivity, evidence, and responsiveness to the study charge. The review comments and draft manuscript remain confidential to protect the integrity of the deliberative process.

We wish to thank the following individuals for their review of this report:

Michael T.Brett, University of Washington

Alex J.Horne, University of California, Berkeley

John J.Magnuson, University of Wisconsin, Madison

Douglas F.Markle, Oregon State University

John M.Melack, University of California, Santa Barbara

Lisa Speer, National Resources Defense Council

Edwin A.Theriot, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers

David A.Vogel, Natural Resource Scientists, Inc.

Eugene B.Welch, University of Washington

Donald Siegel, Syracuse University

Margaret Strand, Oppenheimer, Wolff & Donnelly, LLP

Although the reviewers listed above have provided many constructive comments and suggestions, they were not asked to endorse the conclusions or

Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

Page xiv

recommendations, nor did they see the final draft of the report before its release. The review of this report was overseen by John C.Bailar, III, University of Chicago, and Paul G.Risser, Oregon State University. Appointed by the National Research Council, they were responsible for making certain that an independent examination of this report was carried out in accordance with institutional procedures and that all review comments were carefully considered. Responsibility for the final content of this report rests entirely with the authoring committee and the institution.

Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

Page xv

PREFACE

The federal Endangered Species Act of 1973 has been invoked extensively for the protection of aquatic species in the western United States. Aquatic fauna of the West show extensive endemism because of genetic isolation associated with aridity and with the drainage of many rivers directly to the Pacific. Human intervention in the water cycle of the West is especially pervasive because of the general scarcity of water and the extensive redistribution of water in support of economic growth. Also, the West is growing and developing very rapidly. Thus, an unusual combination of biogeographic, hydrologic, and socioeconomic circumstances conspire to raise the likelihood that the legal protection of aquatic species will come into conflict with development and use of water in the West.

Fishes in the Klamath River Basin are the focus of perhaps the most prominent current conflict between traditional uses of water in the West and requirements established by law for the protection of threatened and endangered species. This case is especially interesting in that the federal government is playing two potentially conflicting roles. Through the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, the Department of the Interior is attempting to serve the needs of irrigators for water that is derived from the federal Klamath Basin Project. Not only is the delivery of water a contractual obligation of the government, it also is traditional in the sense that water delivery has occurred through the project for almost a century. At the same time, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service of the Department of the Interior and the National Marine Fisheries Service of the Department of Commerce are attempting to protect three threatened or endangered fishes of the Klamath Basin drainage (the Lost River

Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

Page xvi

sucker, the shortnose sucker, and the Klamath Basin coho salmon). Interested parties, some of whom have livelihoods or cultural traditions at stake, include farmers, commercial fishing interests, Native Americans, environmental interests, hunters, and hydropower production interests. Conflicts became openly angry during 2001 when irrigators were deprived during a severe drought of traditionally available water through the government's issuance of jeopardy opinions on the endangered and threatened fishes. Economic losses were substantial and the changes in water management were a source of great frustration to irrigators.

The Endangered Species Act (ESA) sets a framework for determination of future water use and management in the Klamath River Basin. The ESA is tightly focused on the requirements for survival of the threatened and endangered fishes, the survival of which is not negotiable under the ESA. Therefore, if the fishes require more water, ESA directs that they shall have it, which would imply that water managers and users must augment their water supplies, reduce their demands, or reach other accommodations consistent with the requirements of the species.

While the ESA gives priority to the needs of threatened and endangered species, it also requires that any allocation of resources to these species be justified on a scientific or technical basis. The burden for scientific and technical justification falls mainly on the federal agencies, and especially the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and National Marine Fisheries Service, which are the source of biological opinions on the species. Assessment of the requirements of any species in a manner that is scientifically or technically rigorous is difficult and often cannot be accomplished quickly. The agencies have assembled considerable data and have interpreted the data as showing need for higher flows in the Klamath main stem and higher lake levels in the upper part of the basin.

External review increases confidence in scientific and technical judgments, and is especially important when such judgments underlie important policy decisions. Accordingly, the Department of the Interior and Department of Commerce have arranged through its agencies for the National Research Council to form the Committee on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin, whose charge is to conduct an external review of the scientific basis for the biological opinions that resulted in changes of water management for year 2001. The committee is to conduct its work in two phases. The first phase, which is reported here, gives an interim assessment of the evidence behind the biological opinions. A second phase, which will

Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

Page xvii

occur over approximately the next year, will take a broader approach to evaluation of evidence for long-term requirements of the threatened and endangered fishes.

In formulating its interim assessment, the committee has been greatly assisted by individuals who have provided it with information orally and in written form. The committee is especially indebted to the invited speakers and members of the public who attended the first meeting of the committee and also to NRC staff members Heather McDonald, Jennifer Saunders, David Policansky, and Suzanne van Drunick and to Leslie Northcott of the University of Colorado.

All NRC committee reports are subject to external peer review as well as internal quality control processes. The committee and the NRC are grateful to the reviewers who contributed their time and expertise to the review process.

The NRC committee is pleased to provide scientific and technical assessments that it hopes will be helpful to federal agencies as they attempt the difficult process of guiding water management toward practices that are consistent with the welfare of threatened and endangered species while also accommodating to the fullest practical extent other uses of water in the Klamath River Basin.

William M.Lewis, Jr., Chair

Committee on Endangered

and Threatened Fishes in the

Klamath River Basin

Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

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Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

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CONTENTS

Summary 1
1     Introduction 6
2     Evaluation of the Biological Opinion on Shortnose and
Lost River Suckers
11
3     Evaluation of the Biological Opinion on Klamath Basin
Coho Salmon
21
4     Conclusions 26
References 28
Appendix     : Statement of Task 32
Figure 1     Map of the Upper Klamath River Basin showing surface waters and landmarks mentioned in this report (modified from USFWS sources), 7
Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

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CONTENTS

Figure 2     Overview of monthly levels for Upper Klamath Lake proposed by USBR through its biological assessment of 2001, USFWS through its biological opinion of 2001, and observed conditions for the years 1960–1998. Hydrologic categories used by USBR in its proposals (dry years, critical dry years) are explained in the text. Mean depths, excluding wetlands, corresponding to water levels are as follows (feet): 4,137=3.5; 4,139=4.8; 4,140 =5.7; 4,141=6.6; 4,142=7.6 (Welch and Burke 2001, Figure 2–5), 14
Figure 3     Historical record of level at the end of September for UpperKlamath Lake (from USBR sources), 16
Figure 4     Relationship of chlorophyll a and median August lake level in Upper Klamath Lake between 1991 and 1998. Chlorophyll data are averages as reported by Welch and Burke (2001). Recruitment and mortality information is as reported by USFWS (2001), 18
Figure 5     Estimated age frequency distributions using opercles from Lost River suckers and shortnose suckers collected from 1997 fish kill in Upper Klamath Lake, Oregon. Estimates did not include all suckers collected, but were calculated using only suckers from which a length measurement (fork length) was obtained. Data are truncated from 1987 to 1994, additional information exists on other year classes of suckers. Source: USGS, unpublished data, 2001, 19
Figure 6     Three flow regimes for the Klamath River below Iron Gate Dam: USBR (USBR 2001b, minima for dry and critical years) proposed historical mean minima for dry and critical dry years, and RPA minimum flows from NMFS (2001). Hydrologic categories used by USBR in its proposals (dry years, critical dry years) are explained in the text, 24
Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

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INTERIM REPORT:

SCIENTIFIC EVALUATION
of
BIOLOGICAL OPINIONS
on
ENDANGERED AND THREATENED FISHES
in the
KLAMATH RIVER BASIN

Suggested Citation: "Front Matter." National Research Council. 2002. Scientific Evaluation of Biological Opinions on Endangered and Threatened Fishes in the Klamath River Basin: Interim Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10296.

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Next Chapter: SUMMARY
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