Roundtable on Population Health Improvement
Workshop: How Modeling Can Inform Strategies to Improve
Population Health
April 9, 2015
National Academy of Sciences, Lecture Room
2101 Constitution Avenue NW, Washington, DC
| 8:15 a.m. | Welcome and overview of the day |
| David Kindig, professor emeritus of population health sciences, emeritus vice chancellor for health sciences, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health; co-chair, Roundtable on Population Health Improvement | |
| 8:25 a.m. | Context-setting presentations |
| Moderator: Louise Russell, distinguished professor, Institute for Health, Health Care Policy and Aging Research and Department of Economics, Rutgers University | |
| Why modeling matters in improving population health | |
| Steven Teutsch, planning committee chair, former chief science officer, Los Angeles County Public Health | |
| Why do we need models, and how have they been used? | |
| Ross Hammond, senior fellow, economic studies, and director, Center on Social Dynamics and Policy, Brookings Institution | |
| 9:05 a.m. | Q&A/Discussion |
| 9:20 a.m. | Case studies of models used to inform health policy |
| Case studies will illustrate (a) different kinds of models, (b) how they have been used, (c) effectiveness (or lack thereof) in informing decisions. | |
| Moderator: Marthe Gold, professor emerita of community health and social medicine, Sophie Davis School of Biomedical Sciences, City College of New York; visiting scholar, New York Academy of Medicine | |
| Case study 1: Tobacco models | |
| David Mendez, associate professor of health management and policy, University of Michigan | |
| Case study 2: EPA air standards | |
| Pasky Pascual, former director, Council for Regulatory Environmental Modeling, Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) | |
| Case study 3: Regional health reform | |
| Bobby Milstein, director, ReThink Health | |
| 10:20 a.m. | Break |
| 10:35 a.m. | Discussion of case studies |
| 11:05 a.m. | Remarks from the IOM president |
| Victor Dzau, president, Institute of Medicine | |
| 11:20 a.m. | What would population health decision makers like from models? |
| Gary VanLandingham, director, Pew–MacArthur Results First Initiative | |
| Instructions for discussion groups | |
| Steven Woolf, professor of family medicine and population health, and director, Center on Society and Health, Virginia Commonwealth University | |
| 11:45 a.m. | What would population health decision makers like from models? |
| Group 1: Health risk factors (e.g., obesity, substance abuse)Facilitator: Karen Minyard, Georgia Health Policy Center | |
| Group 2: Natural and built environments (e.g., air, water, transit, housing) | |
| Facilitator: Pasky Pascual, EPA | |
| Group 3: Social and economic conditions (e.g., education, income, discrimination) | |
| Facilitator: Gary VanLandingham, Results First | |
| Group 4: Integrated health systems (e.g., community conditions and clinical services) | |
| Facilitator: Bobby Milstein, ReThink Health | |
| 12:45 p.m. | Lunch |
| 1:15 p.m. | Discussion groups report back (followed by discussion to explore action items for future model development) Rapporteurs: |
| Group 1: George Miller, fellow, Altarum Institute | |
| Group 2: J. T. Lane, assistant secretary, Louisiana Department of Health and Hospitals | |
| Group 3: Nick Macchione, director, San Diego Health and Human Services Agency | |
| Group 4: Louise Russell, Rutgers University | |
| 2:15 p.m. | Barriers and opportunities for using models to inform population health interventions and policiesModerator: Bobby Milstein, director, ReThink Health |
| Model validation and decision making | |
| Michael Weisberg, associate professor, Department of Philosophy, University of Pennsylvania | |
| Improving communication with policy makers on the use and usefulness of models | |
| Karen Minyard, director and associate research professor, Department of Public Management and Policy, Georgia Health Policy Center | |
| Representative Sharon Cooper, chair, health and human services committee, Georgia State House of Representatives | |
| 3:00 p.m. | Discussion of barriers and opportunities |
| 3:30 p.m. | Break |
| 3:45 p.m. | Future Directions |
| Moderator: Steven Teutsch, former chief science officer, Los Angeles County Public Health | |
| Preventive and Population Health Models Group at the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services Center for Medicare & Medicaid Innovation | |
| Darshak Sanghavi, director, Preventive and Population Health Models Group, Center for Medicare & Medicaid Innovation/Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services | |
| Lessons for using modeling in assessing health impact | |
| Rajiv Bhatia, director, The Civic Engine | |
| 4:30 p.m. | Discussion with all workshop attendees on future directions and capacity building |
| Facilitator: Steven Teutsch | |
| 5:00 p.m. | Reflections on and reactions to the day |
| George Isham, senior advisor, HealthPartners, senior fellow, HealthPartners Institute for Education and Research; co-chair, Roundtable on Population Health Improvement | |
| 5:30 p.m. | Adjourn |