Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices (2023)

Chapter: Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting

Previous Chapter: Appendix D Potential Constraints to Implementing Asset Risk Management and Steps to Address Them
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
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Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
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Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
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Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
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Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
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Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
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Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
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Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
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Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
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Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
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Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 215
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 216
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
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Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
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Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
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Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
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Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
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Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
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Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 223
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 224
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 225
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 226
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 227
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 228
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 229
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 230
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 231
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 232
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 233
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 234
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 235
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 236
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 237
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 238
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 239
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 240
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 241
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 242
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 243
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 244
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 245
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 246
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 247
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 248
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 249
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 250
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 251
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 252
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 253
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 254
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 255
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 256
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 257
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 258
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 259
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 260
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 261
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 262
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 263
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 264
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 265
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 266
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 267
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 268
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 269
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 270
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 271
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 272
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
Page 273
Suggested Citation: "Appendix E Study 1 and Study 2: Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2023. Risk Assessment Techniques for Transportation Asset Management: Appendices. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/27376.
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Next Chapter: Appendix F Study 3: Asset Level Risk Index Bridge Risk Utility Index
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