
The research team contacted several airports to collect the case study data to prepare spreadsheet tools for critical airport assets other than those mentioned in the previous two chapters. However, due to a lack of available data, the research team could not prepare spreadsheet tools to estimate the delayed maintenance cost of other airport assets. During the interviews with airport asset managers and discussion with ACRP panel members, it was identified that the airports spent a considerable percentage of their budgets on maintaining the following airport assets:
Therefore, airport asset managers need a step-by-step process to determine the impact of delayed maintenance of these assets on the airport’s overall budget. The research team conducted an extensive literature review and referred to publicly available documents to determine some of the major issues that need to be considered when determining the impact of delayed maintenance on these assets’ maintenance budgets. The process of conducting delayed maintenance cost calculation is similar to those mentioned in previous chapters. The asset managers should follow the seven basic steps mentioned in the previous chapters. They are (1) establishing an asset inventory, (2) performing condition assessments, (3) identifying and estimating maintenance activities and their unit costs, (4) determining failure probabilities of the assets in regularly maintained conditions, (5) determining failure probabilities of the assets in delayed maintenance scenarios, (6) estimating the maintenance budget without delayed scenarios, and (7) estimating the maintenance budget with delayed scenarios. The following sections provide guidelines to airport asset managers on how to conduct delayed maintenance analysis and what data and information are required to estimate the impact of delayed maintenance of the aforementioned assets.
The terminal building envelope generally consists of a foundation, walls, roofing system, glazing, doors, and other elements like chimneys, vents for stoves, restrooms, etc. Generally, the maintenance of these components of the terminal buildings is not required except when they are new. However, once these buildings age, regular maintenance is required to increase the life of the terminal buildings. To conduct the delayed maintenance cost analysis, airport asset managers need to make sure that they have up-to-date inventory data, condition assessment, and maintenance activities and their unit costs so that they can estimate the maintenance budget for terminal building envelopes. The following subsections show how to determine the maintenance and replacement costs of terminal building envelopes of airports with and without delayed scenarios.
Asset managers should conduct an inventory survey to collect all building envelope data of their terminal buildings. The asset inventory should consist of detailed information on the building’s exterior and interior parts. The asset inventory data should consist of the area of the terminal, number of levels including the basement, area and type of foundation, type of structure, area and type of exterior walls, number and type of doors and windows, area and type of roof, roof materials, and exterior drainage length and type. Asset managers should also collect the interior data of the terminal building, e.g., types of interior walls and surfaces, number of rooms, kitchens, restrooms, area and types of floors, area and types of ceiling, number and types of interior doors, hardware, and security systems. Similarly, the electrical systems including the lights, power switches, and the plumbing system should also be recorded to determine the overall maintenance costs of the terminal buildings.
The team prepared a spreadsheet tool to determine the maintenance cost of HVAC units with and without delayed scenarios. Asset managers can refer to that tool to determine the maintenance costs of their mechanical systems. If rooftop HVAC units are not used in the terminal building, they need to collect the inventory data of their heating and cooling systems. All these data are critical in estimating the maintenance cost of terminal buildings with and without delayed maintenance scenarios. An example of a terminal building inventory can be found here: https://www.cityoffrederickmd.gov/DocumentCenter/View/714/terminal-report?bidId= (City of Frederick 2005). When these data are kept and updated in the inventory, asset managers should make sure that they can be used during the maintenance budget preparation. To determine the maintenance budget with and without delayed scenarios, the airport needs to determine the unit cost of each of these components. If the airport knows the quantity of each of the components of the terminal building mentioned above, the maintenance cost can be calculated accurately.
Once an airport has created a database of its terminal buildings’ exterior and interior components, it should conduct the condition inspection of these components at least once a year. The condition assessments will provide the required information to asset managers regarding what components of the building need to be maintained in the coming fiscal year. The building envelope regularly deteriorates as it ages; however, the main cause of the fast deterioration of building interiors and exteriors is water leakage. Therefore, airport managers should be careful in detecting water leakage in ground-level elements, below-grade building elements, roofs, walls, and windows. To conduct the water leakage inspection, an inspection checklist for water damage assessment of the terminal building such as this one can be used: https://www.hubinternational.com/-/media/HUB-International/Industries/Real-Estate-Insurance/Building-Envelope-Inspection-Checklist.pdf (HUB International 2022). An example of a building inspection report conducted in an airport terminal building can be found here: https://www.cityoffrederickmd.gov/DocumentCenter/View/714/terminal-report?bidId= (City of Frederick 2022).
The condition assessment of the entire building can require a substantial amount of time depending on the size of the terminal building. The major areas to assess conditions in the building are the exterior parts, including walls, doors, windows, roof, and drainage systems, as well as interior parts, including the kitchen, restrooms, etc., where water may leak. While performing the condition assessment, asset managers should record what needs to be fixed to improve the terminal building envelope so that accurate maintenance costs can be estimated. The identification of these maintenance activities and their quantity is key in determining the maintenance cost of the terminal building envelope with and without delayed scenarios. If the airport wants to
determine the maintenance cost of electrical and plumbing systems of the terminal building, they need to inspect the lighting systems and the plumbing systems of their buildings.
During the condition assessment of the building envelope, the asset managers can also identify the types of maintenance activities that need to be performed to improve the terminal building conditions. If the building envelope components need only regular maintenance to bring in the operating conditions, then the asset managers can prepare a checklist of those maintenance activities to estimate the unit cost of those activities. However, if remodeling or a major overhaul is needed, then the replacement cost of those activities should also be calculated. To calculate the maintenance or replacement cost, those activities should be identified in detail. The building envelope maintenance activities can vary based on the components of the buildings. Some of the activities that should be performed to maintain the building’s exterior wall are: (1) Prevent water filtration in the wall, (2) prevent mold growth in the exterior wall, (3) avoid loose elements falling from the walls, (4) fix the shifted or displaced elements, cracks, spalls, and stains, (5) prevent water entry into a building, (6) repair cracked masonry joints, (7) replace aged flexible sealants, and (8) clean soiled stone or concrete (Facilities Net 2022).
Another important component of the terminal building that needs to be inspected is the roof. Asset managers need to inspect and determine the maintenance activities to be performed on the terminal building’s roof. The key elements of a roof to be regularly inspected are (Schultz 2016):
The maintenance activities that need to be performed on the roof to keep it durable include:
Another critical component of the terminal building is the foundation. It is crucial to maintain the foundation of the terminal building to keep the building structure stable. Some of the maintenance activities that need to be performed on the building foundations are (1) slope maintenance for proper drainage, (2) gutter and downspout inspection and maintenance, (3) proper subsurface drainage, (4) proper moisture content maintenance under the foundation, (5) maintenance of vegetation and trees that can damage the foundation, (6) plumbing leak repair, (7) foundation reinforcement steel exposure control, and (8) termite damage control (National Foundation Repair Association 2022). Airport asset managers need to maintain the interior of the terminal buildings in addition to the exterior. Some of the building interior maintenance activities and inspections are (Grainger KnowHow 2022):
After identifying the required maintenance activities of the terminal building envelope, asset managers need to estimate the unit cost of the maintenance of these activities. The maintenance activities mentioned above have two major cost components: the labor cost and the material cost. If an airport needs equipment to perform these activities, then the equipment cost also needs to be calculated. If the airport’s in-house labor performs these activities, they can determine the labor cost by calculating the total labor cost spent on these activities over a year. Then the labor cost per square foot of the terminal building can be calculated by dividing the total labor cost by the area of the terminal buildings. This unit cost can provide the average labor cost spent to maintain the building envelope per square foot. Similarly, to determine the material unit cost, the airport needs to determine the amount of money spent on material costs to maintain the terminal building per year. Dividing that amount by the total area of the terminal building will then provide the unit cost of the materials.
To calculate the total unit cost, the cost of labor and materials needs to be added, and, if equipment is used, then the cost of the equipment should also be added. It is a good practice to add 20% overhead and contingency costs to acquire the accurate total cost of maintenance. Once the average maintenance cost per square foot of the building envelope is calculated, this can be used to determine the maintenance cost of the terminal building for the following year. However, if airport asset managers would like to determine the unit cost of labor for each activity, they need to refer to the national unit cost database available from the RSMeans Cost Guide (RSMeans Cost Guide 2021). This cost guide provides the unit cost of labor, equipment, and materials required to perform these maintenance activities. Once the quantity of these activities is determined from the asset inventory database, the total cost can be calculated by multiplying the quantity by the unit cost of maintenance. An overhead or contingency cost of 20% can then be added to get the accurate maintenance cost of the terminal building. Also, these costs should be adjusted based on the year the maintenance was done using the cost escalation factors available from the RSMeans Cost Guide.
In any type of asset, there is always the probability that it can fail, even if the maintenance is conducted regularly. In the case of a terminal building, there is always the possibility that the components of the building can fail even with regular maintenance. Generally, failure can occur from natural events such as earthquakes, wind, fire, snow, or rain. In 2004, the terminal building of Charles De Gaulle Airport in Paris collapsed (Craven 2019). Despite being a newly built terminal, it collapsed due to design errors and a lack of construction quality. Although the possibility of terminal building failure is very rare, airport asset managers still need to assume that some components of the terminal building can fail, e.g., parts of the walls, roof, doors, windows, etc.
Some literature shows that the aging of a building can cause significant damage to the building components. In 2013, the University of Michigan found that 72% of all buildings in the United States were more than 20 years old (University of Michigan 2022). A commercial building has an average life of 50 to 60 years (Shingobee 2021), but the lifespan of a building depends on various
factors, including maintenance; external environmental factors like climate hazards and storms, harsh sunlight, heavy rainfall, and snow; internal factors like faulty plumbing, excessive heat, and improper drainage; and usage duration. Concrete decay, roof deterioration, electrical and plumbing deterioration, and door and window damage are some of the major sources of damage (Dansig 2021). Due to the above reasons, airport asset managers need to consider budgeting for emergency maintenance of their terminal buildings. It is highly suggested that these emergency funds be allocated for each component of the building separately and that the budget be based on the age of the building components. There is no accurate method to estimate this emergency budget, but generally 10% to 50% of the total maintenance budget of each component should be allotted for emergency maintenance work of the terminal building. Therefore, the asset managers need to increase the maintenance budget of the terminal building envelope, considering the probability of failure of some components of the building.
As described in section 7.1.4, there is a probability that the terminal building can fail even when regular maintenance is conducted. If maintenance is delayed in terminal buildings, the probability of terminal building component failure significantly increases. Therefore, airport asset managers need to ensure that a significant amount of emergency funds are allocated for building envelope maintenance if the maintenance is delayed by a certain number of years. It is difficult to determine how much money will be needed for emergency maintenance, but asset managers can increase the emergency funds by twofold compared to the regularly maintained terminal buildings. There is no literature available to determine what percentage of the total maintenance budget of the terminal building should be allocated to emergency maintenance work. As described in the above section, asset managers need to allocate more money for emergency maintenance if the component maintenance within the terminal is delayed. Asset managers can also refer to the RSMeans Cost Guide to allocate contingency costs for these kinds of emergency work.
Once the quantity of each component of the terminal building and their unit maintenance costs are determined, asset managers can determine the maintenance cost per year by multiplying these two factors. Then, the asset managers can add emergency costs (contingency costs) as described in section 7.1.4 to factor into the failure probability of these building components. Depending upon the cost inflation factor, asset managers may need to increase the maintenance cost for the following year. The research team showed how to incorporate cost inflation factors to adjust the maintenance and replacement costs in the spreadsheet tools developed for other airport assets. These cost inflation factors can be found in the RSMeans Cost Guide, or asset managers can search the consumer price index data available on the Bureau of Labor Statistics website.
If an airport needs to delay the maintenance of its terminal building components due to financial constraints, it should determine which terminal building maintenance component can be delayed first, considering the lowest impact on the structural damage of the building. Once asset managers identify the building components in which maintenance must be delayed, they should predict the condition of each component after the delay. Because the deterioration models of the building with delay are not available, the airport asset manager must increase the contingency cost for emergency maintenance in the case of delayed scenarios. The emergency maintenance
cost due to delay needs to factor in the probability of failure as explained in section 7.1.5. Then the maintenance cost to correct that component after the delay needs to be calculated by multiplying the unit cost and the quantity of the component and adding the contingency costs. The unit cost also needs to be adjusted based on cost inflation factors. These cost inflation factors can be found in the RSMeans Cost Guide or the consumer price index data available on the Bureau of Labor Statistics website. An airport can use its own cost inflation factors for maintenance work if they are available.
The hangar is a building or structure designed to house an aircraft. Most airports own aircraft hangars. These hangars are used to keep the aircraft protected from weather and direct sunlight, and are also used for maintenance, repair, and storage. Hangars are one-story structures built of metal, wood, or concrete. Depending on the size of the airport, small or large hangars may be used. Large-size airports usually own multiple hangars to house their aircrafts for maintenance or storage. If the hangar is used for aircraft maintenance, they are generally called aircraft maintenance hangars (Tronair n.d.). The aircraft maintenance hangars are generally large, open, and have ample space for major repairs. These types of hangars also have maintenance stands, tool stands, scaffolding, and other equipment required for aircraft maintenance. The hangar should have firm, solid foundations made of concrete. The walls of the hangar can be steel columns with masonry walls, concrete, or drywall. Generally, the roof of the hangar should be made of shockproof and fireproof materials (SAFS Steel Structure n.d.). The FAA has developed a policy on the non-aeronautical use of airport hangers. If the airport received an AIP grant to build the hangar, they should abide by these rules. The hangar should be used for aeronautical purposes, however, with the approval of the FAA, the airport can designate some areas for non-aviation use (FAA 2016b). The main purpose of an aircraft hangar is aircraft storage. If the hangar is used to store the aircraft, then storage of non-aeronautical items in the hangar does not violate FAA policy. Maintenance of the hangar is critical to keep the structure of the building intact. Like terminal buildings, airport asset managers need to maintain these hangars. Asset managers can determine the maintenance cost of the hangars with and without delayed scenarios by dividing the hangars into the following building components:
Asset managers can follow the steps provided in the following section to determine the maintenance cost of each component of the hangars with and without delayed scenarios. Then the total cost of the maintenance and replacement of the hangar can be calculated by adding these costs for each component. As mentioned for other airport assets, asset managers need to follow seven steps to determine the maintenance and replacement costs of the hangar with or without delayed scenarios.
The airport asset manager should keep the inventory of each hangar separately. If the hangars are of the same size and height, then one inventory can be used for multiple hangars. The asset manager should have the dimensions and types of materials used for each of the four major components of the hangar, keeping data related to length, width, depth, and the material used for the foundation. They should also keep the dimensions, wall size, and type of materials used on the hangar floor. The asset manager needs to collect detailed information about the
roofing structures, including dimensions and types of material used for the roof structure and roof shingles. In addition to this, the airport must also keep the inventory of the exterior drainage to keep the water out of the foundation. The asset manager must also keep the inventory of the door and windows related to size and material type.
The aircraft hangar consists of components similar to a building. Therefore, airport asset managers can perform condition assessments of the hangar similar to the terminal buildings. However, the airports do not need a detailed assessment of the plumbing provided in the kitchen and restrooms. Asset managers can follow a process similar to the one used for terminal buildings to assess the condition of the aircraft hangars. The airport should assess the conditions of the following main components of the hangars: (1) structural system, (2) building envelope, (3) interior, (4) mechanical system, and (5) electrical system (S2 Architecture et al. 2017).
Asset managers should visually inspect the foundation of the hangar every year and determine its condition. If any structural damage issues are found in the foundation, the structural engineers should perform a detailed engineering analysis to determine the root cause of the issue. If any types of non-destructive tests need to be performed to determine the stability and loading capacity of the foundation, the structural engineering consultant should be contacted. As in the terminal building, the asset manager should also assess the condition of the building envelope every year. The building envelope consists of the exterior and the roofing of the hangar. If the exterior wall has extensive moisture-related deterioration, it should be fixed immediately. Similarly, if the asset manager finds that the roof is leaking or the roof rafters are damaged, then they should also be fixed immediately.
Airports should also assess the interior condition of their hangars. Asset managers should inspect and assess the condition of interior wall finishes, any issues related to building envelopes, water penetration affecting the hangar floor, ceiling finishes, etc. The airport should also assess the interior wood doors, frames, and plumbing fixtures. Another item to be inspected regularly is the mechanical and plumbing system in the hangar. The hangar does not typically have extensive mechanical and plumbing systems like in the terminal building. However, the plumbing required to provide a water and sewage system in the hangar must be inspected regularly to check whether it is working properly. Similarly, HVAC units in the hangar need to be inspected every year. The process of quantifying the impact of delayed maintenance of HVAC units can be found in Chapter 6. The airport also needs to assess the condition of the sewage system provided in the hangar along with the electrical system of the hangar every year. During the assessment of the electrical system, asset managers should inspect all lighting wires, light bulbs, power distribution systems, receptacles, electrical devices, and fire alarm panels. When assessing the condition of the hangar components, asset managers can divide the condition into four categories e.g., excellent, good, fair, and poor, depending on how quickly they need to be fixed.
The maintenance activities identified in the airport terminal building can be used to maintain the hangars. Because most of the building components in these two assets are similar, asset managers can use similar maintenance activities to those used in terminal buildings to maintain the hangar. Some specific maintenance activities that can be performed in the hangar building envelope are (S2 Architecture et al. 2017):
Airports should also assess the condition of electrical systems provided in the hangar. Some of the maintenance activities airports can perform related to electrical systems are:
Asset managers should determine the unit cost of these maintenance activities. As described in section 7.1.3 for terminal buildings, the airports can use their existing unit cost of maintenance, or they can determine the unit cost by using the RSMeans Cost Guide. If these maintenance activities are carried out by contractors, the airports can ask for a bid cost for maintenance budget preparation purposes. If the airports perform these maintenance activities using their in-house manpower, they can estimate the number of personnel involved in these activities per year and determine the labor cost per square foot of the hangar. Then the asset managers can determine the material costs for hangar maintenance by using the ratio of labor and materials found in the RSMeans Cost Guide. These unit costs need to be adjusted based on the budget preparation year. Cost inflation factors can be found in the RSMeans Cost Guide, or asset managers can search the consumer price index data available on the Bureau of Labor Statistics website. It is a good practice to determine the unit cost for each component of the hangar and estimate the maintenance cost of hangars with and without delay. Asset managers can also use the overall unit cost of maintenance for the hangar to determine the total maintenance cost for budgeting purposes.
The airport can use a process similar to the one mentioned in section 7.1.4 to incorporate failure probability costs in the total maintenance costs of the hangar. Because terminals and hangars have similar components, the percentage of contingency costs can be factored into the maintenance cost to incorporate the failure probability of the hangar. There is no systematic method of incorporating the hangar failure cost in the maintenance budget, but asset managers can use the contingency cost procedure to cover the failure of the hangar in normally maintained conditions.
The research team could not find any literature or process that explains how to determine the failure probability of the hangar in a delayed maintenance scenario. When the maintenance is delayed, it will have an adverse effect on the condition of the hangar components. However, it is difficult to predict how fast the hangar components will deteriorate. As described for terminal buildings in section 7.1.5, asset managers can increase the contingency cost to incorporate the failure probability of hangar components in delayed scenarios. Airports can use similar percentages of contingency as described in the terminal building case.
A similar process to the one mentioned in the terminal building section can be used to determine the hangar maintenance and replacement costs without delayed scenarios. The maintenance cost includes labor, materials, and equipment (if used), and the contingency costs (added for the failure probability in regularly maintained conditions) can be added to determine the total maintenance and replacement costs of the hangar for the following year. The cost should be escalated for the following year. As described above, the cost inflation factors can be found in the RSMeans Cost Guide.
Airports need to determine the impact of delayed maintenance on airport assets. In the case of a hangar, the process is similar to that of the terminal building. Asset managers can add higher contingency costs with hangar maintenance costs calculated for the following year to determine the total maintenance and replacement costs in delayed scenarios. As described in section 7.1.7, the contingency cost needs to increase as the number of delay years increases. The research team could not find any literature to determine the percentage of contingency costs to be added to the maintenance cost to incorporate the failure probability of hangar components in delayed scenarios. However, the percentage of contingency costs should be greater than those without delayed scenarios, and it should increase as the number of days the maintenance is delayed increases. Asset managers also need to adjust the maintenance and replacement costs of hangars based on the future cost inflation factor. If the airport does not have the cost inflation factor data, it can use the historical cost inflation factors of the construction activities and predict the future cost inflation factors. These cost inflation factors can be found in the RSMeans Cost Guide or can be searched in the consumer price index data available on the Bureau of Labor Statistics website.
Large-hub airports generally have some kind of automated people mover (APM) system to rapidly move passengers across airport grounds. These APMs assist airport personnel in reducing passenger congestion and removing long walking distances for passengers. The APM system is designed and built to move passengers between airside concourses and landside from parking lots and transit lines to terminal buildings. These systems can handle high traffic volumes in large-hub airports and can be moved around the clock. In the United States, several airports, such as John F. Kennedy, LaGuardia, Oakland, Orlando, Las Vegas-Harry Reid, Philadelphia, Phoenix-Sky Harbor, Seattle-Tacoma, Tampa, San Francisco, and Washington Dulles have these APM systems. These APM systems are similar to a train system which moves over a track. The only difference between a train and an APM system is that the former is driven by a human and the latter does not have any driver and moves autonomously. A train can travel at high speeds, but an APM system can only travel at a maximum speed of 56 mph (Shen et al. 2022).
Airport asset managers who own ATM systems need to prepare the budget yearly to operate and maintain these systems. They also need to determine the consequence of delayed maintenance on the operating and maintenance costs of the systems. Asset managers who need to quantify the impact of delayed maintenance of APM in the total maintenance budget can follow the steps described below.
Airports should keep inventory data of their APM system to determine the impact of delayed maintenance of an APM system on a maintenance budget. ACRP Report 37: Guidebook for Planning and Implementing Automated People Mover Systems at Airports developed a guidebook for planning and implementing APM systems at airports (Lea+Elliot et al. 2010). This report describes the requirements for APM system installments at airports. The major components of any APM system are guideway structure, stations, command, control, communication facilities, maintenance facilities, and power distribution facilities. Asset managers need to keep inventory data of the guideway structure, the number and area of stations, the number and area of command and communication systems, and the number and area of maintenance facilities. Asset managers should also keep a record of the number of passenger cars and the capacity of each passenger car. The make and model of these passenger cars and the APM system need to be recorded. These inventory data will assist asset managers in determining the maintenance and replacement cost of APM systems with or without delayed scenarios.
Asset managers need to assess the condition of each component of the APM system. The airport should assess the condition of its passenger cars. The asset manager should assess the interior and exterior of the passenger cars, and inspect the condition of maintenance facilities, system guideway operating areas, stations, and command and communication systems facilities. Asset managers should also assess the software system to check whether the software needs to be upgraded to run the APM systems. Asset managers should inspect the guideway structure and system frequently to make sure that the APM system can be operated smoothly and without any incidents. During the assessment, airports need to identify critical and long-term maintenance needs so that the maintenance budget can be prepared accurately. Asset managers can also categorize the condition of the components of APM systems into four categories, e.g., excellent, good, fair, and poor. These condition data should be kept in a database along with the inventory data.
An airport can identify maintenance activities during the condition assessment of APM systems components. The maintenance activities involved in the five major components of APM systems are different. Some of the maintenance to be performed on the passenger cars are as follows (Tampa International Airport 2015):
Another important component of the APM system is the guideway structure and system. Without proper system maintenance, the APM cannot be operated efficiently. The guideway system comprises not only the super and substructures, but also special structures like tunnels, bridges, and fences along the APM line. Guideway inspection and maintenance activities are similar to those of the rail track. The American Public Transportation Association (APTA) has developed a guidebook explaining how to inspect and maintain a rail transit track. According
to this guidebook, some of the major inspection and maintenance activities to be performed on rail tracks are (American Public Transportation Association 2017):
If the APM guideway system has special structures like tunnels, bridges, and fences, then the following maintenance activities need to be performed annually:
The maintenance facilities and stations of the APM system should also be maintained. The maintenance activities involved in these facilities and stations are similar to that of the terminal buildings. If any special equipment is used, the airports also need to maintain the special equipment housed in the facilities. Command and communication facilities are critical to the APM system. In these facilities, asset managers need to perform regular maintenance, software maintenance, and upgrades. Software is key to operating the APM system effectively. Asset managers should also maintain the hardware of the APM systems.
After identifying the maintenance activities of the APM systems, airport asset managers need to determine the unit cost of these maintenance activities. Airports can refer to the RSMeans Cost Guide to determine the cost of these maintenance activities. Also, asset managers can determine the number of labor hours used to maintain their APM systems per year and convert the cost into feet or mile unit costs. Airports can determine the ratio of labor and materials spent on maintaining their APM systems and find the unit cost of materials. The total unit cost of maintaining the APM system per linear foot or mile can be calculated by adding the labor and material costs and the overhead cost. These unit maintenance costs can be used to estimate the future maintenance and replacement costs of the APM systems with or without delayed maintenance.
The APM system consists of physical structures as well as mechanical and electrical systems. Therefore, asset managers need to determine how to incorporate the probability of failure of these components in regularly maintained conditions. The airports can use processes similar to those in terminal buildings to determine the failure probability of structures like bridges, tunnels, guideways, stations, etc. Because there is no exact theoretical method to calculate failure probability for physical structures, the contingency cost addition method can be used to incorporate the failure costs of these structures. After calculating the maintenance and replacement costs of these structures, asset managers can add appropriate contingency costs in case of structure failures.
Asset managers can use the probability theory to determine the electrical and mechanical systems failure probability of APM systems. The Weibull distribution theory can be used to determine the failure probability of an APM system’s train and guideway mechanical systems. Asset managers can determine the life of an APM system’s passenger cars and guideway systems. They can estimate the duration at which 63% of the passenger cars and guideway systems will fail when
they are regularly maintained, and they can use these values in a Weibull probability distribution equation. Asset managers can use a shape factor of 3.5, considering the failure probability as normally distributed. They can refer to section 6.4.5 under the baggage handling system delayed maintenance cost calculator to determine the cumulative failure probability of passenger cars and guideway systems of APMs.
Airports can also use the Weibull probability distribution theory to determine the cumulative failure probability of APM electrical systems. Similar to the mechanical system described above, asset managers can determine the duration at which 63% of their electrical system will fail in regularly maintained scenarios. Asset managers can consider that the failure probability distribution of the electrical system of the APM will be normal and use a value of 3.5 as the shape factor. The process of determining the failure probability of electrical systems under normal conditions is shown in section 5.3.4.
Asset managers can use the contingency cost estimation process to determine the impact of delayed maintenance on the physical structures of the APM system. For delayed maintenance scenarios, asset managers can double the contingency cost percentage compared to regularly maintained structures. They can increase the contingency cost based on the age of the structures as described in the previous section.
Airports can also use the Weibull distribution theory from the previous section to determine the cumulative probability of an APM’s mechanical and electrical component failure in the delayed maintenance scenarios. The process is similar to the one described in section 7.2.4, however, the duration at which 63% of the components will fail when their maintenance is delayed will decrease. Asset managers can assume that this value will decrease by 50% depending upon the types of components. The cumulative probability distribution can then be determined for the mechanical and electrical components of an APM by using a shape factor of 3.5. The research team developed a spreadsheet tool for determining the delayed maintenance and replacement costs for baggage handling systems and passenger boarding bridges. Airports can refer to that sheet to determine the delayed maintenance cost of mechanical components of their APM system. They can also refer to the spreadsheet tool developed for runway lighting systems to determine the delayed maintenance costs of the electrical components of their APM system.
Airport asset managers can use their inventory, condition assessment, unit cost of maintenance, contingency cost percentages, and the failure probability of mechanical and electrical components of the APM system to determine regular maintenance and replacement costs for the following year. They must adjust the unit cost of these maintenance activities for the subsequent year. Asset managers can use their own airport’s cost inflation factors for labor and material costs or get these cost inflation factors from the RSMeans Cost Guide or the consumer price index of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Once the unit cost of maintenance for each component of an APM system is calculated, airport asset managers can multiply this adjusted unit cost with the quantity to estimate the total maintenance and replacement costs. Airports should always consider contingency costs for the physical components of their APM system in case some components fail during operation. As described in the previous section, asset managers can estimate this contingency cost based on the age of the structures.
Asset managers should also add the cost related to the probability of failure of the mechanical and electrical components of the APM system. To determine this cost, they can multiply the replacement cost and the failure probability of these components. Airports should have some leverage in their maintenance and replacement budget in case some components fail abruptly during the operation of the APM system.
Airports can use a similar process to the one described in section 7.3.6 to determine the maintenance and replacement cost of APM systems with delayed scenarios. The only difference is the failure probability cost of the APM system components. This failure cost will increase significantly depending on the number of years by which maintenance and replacement are delayed. The research team developed spreadsheet tools for other airside and landside assets for up to 10 years of delay. However, asset managers should understand the overall implication of delaying APM system maintenance on the performance of the airport. When calculating the delayed maintenance and replacement costs, the cumulative failure probability of mechanical and electrical systems will increase significantly compared to regularly maintained APM systems. Therefore, the delayed maintenance cost will increase significantly, and the incremental cost will depend on the age of the APM system. The older an APM system is, the higher the delayed maintenance and replacement cost will be because the probability of failure increases exponentially. Asset managers should use appropriate future cost inflation factors to determine this future cost. Asset managers can refer to other spreadsheet tools developed by the research team to adjust inflation factors.