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Models of the World for the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency

Completed

The National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA) is responsible for providing geospatial intelligence on other countries—assessing where exactly something is, what it is, and why it is important—in support of national security, disaster response, and humanitarian assistance. NGA’s approach today relies heavily on imagery analysis and mapping, but a strong modeling capability would enable NGA to also anticipate and explore future outcomes. This report describes the types of models and analytical methods used to understand real-world systems, discusses what would be required to make these models and methods useful for geospatial intelligence, and identifies supporting research and development for NGA.

Description

An ad hoc committee will undertake the following tasks:

1. Identify types of mathematical, numerical, and statistical models and spatial-temporal analytical methods (e.g., coupled models, inverse models, agent-based models, machine learning, statistical inference) used to understand complex adaptive systems, such as those found in the natural or built environment, and in health, political, social, or economic systems.

2. Describe the potential relevance of these models and methods to geospatial intelligence.

3. Describe the current state of the art in the models and methods relevant to geospatial intelligence, including factors such as the features and scales captured by the model, accuracy, reliability, predictability, uncertainty characterization, and computational requirements.

4. Determine what would be required to make these models and methods useful for geospatial intelligence, considering issues such as adaptability of the model for other purposes, availability of data, interoperability, and computational issues.

5. Identify NGA research and development necessary to adapt, populate, link, analyze, and maintain the models and methods for geospatial intelligence purposes.

Contributors

Committee

Chair

Member

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Sponsors

Department of Defense

Staff

Anne Linn

Lead

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