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Sustaining Ocean Observations to Understand Future Changes in Earth’s Climate

Completed

Despite the ocean’s critical role in Earth’s climate, observations for some of the key ocean climate properties are either only short-term (10-20 years duration) or insufficient to understand essential properties of Earth’s climate. Establishing and sustaining long-term climate-quality observations to support these predictions has been difficult, in part due to unpredictable funding streams under the annual cycle of government appropriations, tight budgets, and competing priorities. A consensus study report will identify priorities and challenges for maintaining long-term ocean observations. A follow-up workshop is expected to explore options for aligning resources across sectors to ensure continuity of critical ocean observations.

Description

Phase 1

Maintaining long-term, continuous, ocean-data records for understanding, monitoring changes in, and modeling climate changes are essential, yet, challenging. An ad hoc committee will consider processes for identifying and characterizing the most critical, long-term ocean observations (including arrays of distributed platforms) and identify limitations of the current approaches.

When considering the various processes for selecting and characterizing high-priority, long-term ocean observations, the committee will discuss potential factors such as:

  • Accuracy, precision, frequency, and spatial resolution of observations;
  • Duration of observations (e.g., what criteria would be used to determine when observations should be sustained at high priority, are no longer needed for a given parameter or when an observation would be superseded by a different type of observation, for example through a new/different technology);
  • Inherent value and/or tradeoffs of increasing multidisciplinary observations across a limited number of networks/platforms vs initiating additional observing systems;
  • Complementarity of an observation to another set of observations (or network); and
  • Current or near-future technology that could be used to develop a more cost-effective observational system.

The committee's report will identify challenges to maintaining long-term observations and suggest avenues for potential improvement. During the study, the committee will convene a workshop to gather expert opinions on the process for prioritizing long-term, ocean climate observations and discuss international approaches to selecting and sustaining ocean observations, as well as other topics important for the design of sustainable, long-term ocean observing systems.

Phase 2 Workshop:
Based on the outcome of Phase 1, a separate ad hoc committee (with some overlap in membership with the Phase 1 committee) will be appointed to organize a workshop to discuss potential options for aligning resources and governance structures to ensure continuity and quality of the most critical ocean climate observations (identified during Phase 1) over the long-term. This Phase 2 committee will structure the workshop to cover a range of financing options including: philanthropic contributions; industry support (e.g., reinsurance); structuring public-private partnerships with options for revenue generation; etc. In addition, the workshop will involve discussion of governance issues including: scientific oversight; coordination with U.S. and international observing initiatives; and financial oversight.
A study report will be issued at the end of Phase 1. For Phase 2, a summary of the presentations and discussions at the workshop will be prepared by a designated rapporteur in accordance with institutional guidelines.

Contributors

Committee

Co-Chair

Co-Chair

Member

Member

Member

Member

Member

Member

Member

Member

Claudia Mengelt

Staff Officer

Sponsors

National Academy of Sciences Arthur L. Day Fund

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Staff

Emily Twigg

Lead

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