Cryptography and the Intelligence Community: The Future of Encryption
2022

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Encryption is a process for making information unreadable by an adversary who does not possess a specific key that is required to make the encrypted information readable. The inverse process, making information that has been encrypted readable, is referred to as decryption. Cryptography has become widespread and is used by private as well as governmental actors. It also enables authentication and underlies the safe use of the Internet and computer systems by individuals and organizations worldwide. Emerging cryptographic technologies offer capabilities such as the ability to process encrypted information without first decrypting it.

At the request of the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, this report identifies potential scenarios that would describe the balance between encryption and decryption over the next 10 to 20 years and assesses the national security and intelligence implications of each scenario. For each of these scenarios, Cryptography and the Intelligence Community identifies risks, opportunities, and actions. Attention to the findings should enable the Intelligence Community to prepare for the future and to recognize emerging trends and developments and respond appropriately.

Publication information

140 pages · 8.5 x 11 · paperback
ISBN Paperback: 0-309-49135-5
ISBN Ebook: 0-309-49143-6
DOI: https://doi.org/10.17226/26168

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National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2022. Cryptography and the Intelligence Community: The Future of Encryption. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press.

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Front Matter i-xii
Summary 1-11
1 Introduction 12-15
2 Introduction to Encryption 16-34
3 Methodology 35-39
4 Drivers 40-80
5 Scenarios 81-100
6 Implications for U.S. Intelligence 101-104
7 Findings 105-110
Appendixes 111-112
Appendix A: Statement of Task 113-113
Appendix B: Meeting Agendas 114-115
Appendix C: Potential Scenarios 116-118
Appendix D: Global Trends 2040 119-121
Appendix E: Acronyms and Abbreviations 122-124
Appendix F: Committee Member Biographical Information 125-128

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Cryptography and the Intelligence Community: The Future of Encryption (2022)

Chapter: Appendixes

Appendixes

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Cryptography and the Intelligence Community: The Future of Encryption (2022)

Chapter: Appendixes

Appendixes