December 13-14, 2004
National Academies Building
Monday, December 13, Members Room
7:30-8:30 am | Continental Breakfast |
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8:30-9:15 | Welcome and Introduction | Dr. Harvey Fineberg |
| Attributing Risk in Preventable Deaths | Dr. Julie Gerberding |
| What Metrics Best Inform Public Health Policy? | Dr. George A. Mensah |
| Setting the Stage For Discussion |
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9:15-9:45 | Causality | Dr. Richard Scheines |
9:45-10:15 | Attributable Risk in Epidemiology | Dr. Steve Goodman |
10:15-10:30 | Break |
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| Methodological Issues When Estimating Lifestyle Factors |
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10:30-10:45 | Partial Adjustment | Dr. Katherine Flegal |
10:45-11:00 | Calculating the Number of Deaths Attributable to a Risk Factor Using National Survey Data | Dr. Barry Graubard |
11:00-11:15 | Caveats in Using Estimation of Deaths Attributable to Lifestyle Factors | Dr. Mitchell Gail |
11:15-11:30 | Estimating Population-Attributable Risk: A Simulation Model Based on the NHANES I Follow-up Study and NHANES III | Dr. Louise Russell |
11:30-12:00 pm | Discussion |
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12:00-1:00 | Lunch |
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| Attributable Risk in Practice–Examples from the Field |
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1:00–1:30 | Overview of Actual Causes of Death, 1993 Actual Causes of Death, Update 2002 | Dr. J Michael McGinnis |
| Rationale for 2002 Update | Dr. Donna Stroup |
1:30-1:50 | The Numbers Are the Easy Part: Interpretation and Usefulness of Population Attributable Fractions, with Illustrations from Breast cancer | Dr. Beverly Rockhill |
1:50-2:25 | Alcohol Use | Dr. Robert Brewer Dr. Michael Thun |
2:25 -3:05 | Tobacco Use | Dr. Corinne Husten Dr. Graham Colditz |
3:05-3:15 | Break |
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3:15-3:35 | Obesity | Dr. David Allison |
3:35-3:55 | Physical Activity | Dr. Steven Blair |
3:55-4:15 | Assessing the Effects of Multiple Public Health Interventions | Dr. James Robins |
4:15-4:45 | Discussion |
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| Alternative Metrics of Burden |
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4:45-5:00 | Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALYs) | Dr. Allison Rosen |
5:00-5:20 | Comparative Risk Assessment (DALYs) | Dr. Christopher Murray |
5:20-5:45 | Discussion | Dr. Marthe Gold |
6:00-8:00 | Dinner (in Great Hall) |
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Tuesday, December 14, Board Room
7:30-8:30am | Continental Breakfast |
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| Alternative Metrics of Burden, continued |
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8:30–8:50 am | Economic Costs | Dr. Erik Finkelstein |
8:50-9:10 | Using Population Attributable Risk Estimates to Allocate Resources | Dr. Louise Russell |
9:10-9:30 | Discussion |
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| Public Policy Issue |
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9:30-9:50 | General Public Policy | Dr. Nicole Lurie |
9:50-10:10 | State Policy Perspective | Dr. Georges Benjamin |
10:10-10:30 | Break |
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