To the Council of the National Academy of Sciences:
This Report of the Treasurer of the National Academy of Sciences presents the financial position and results of operations as well as a review of the endowment, trust, and other long-term investments portfolio activities of our Academy for the year ended December 31, 2014.
Overview
The income that supports the activities of the Academy comes from two major sources: program revenue received from sponsors to pay for the myriad studies and other activities undertaken each year by the National Research Council (NRC), and a much smaller sum that we withdraw from our own endowment under the endowment spending policies adopted by the Council. Our total NRC program revenue for 2014 experienced an increase of approximately 1% above 2013 revenue. In projecting program level in 2015, we anticipate a program level similar to the 2014 program; with a slightly higher level of on-site programmatic work, and a smaller amount of subcontracting.
The Gulf Research Program started in 2013 and will become a larger part of the programmatic activity over the next few years. Over its 30-year duration, The Gulf Research Program will seek to improve understanding of the interconnecting human, environmental, and energy systems of the Gulf of Mexico and other U.S. outer continental shelf areas, and foster application of these insights to benefit Gulf communities, ecosystems, and the Nation. As of February 2015, we have received $95 million of the total $500 million in payments to be received. The NAS Council is overseeing the investment of the funds and the strategic direction of the program in accordance with agreements arising out of the settlement of the federal government’s criminal complaints against BP Exploration and Production, Inc. and Transocean Deepwater, Inc.
With respect to the second source of revenue, it has for many years been the policy of the Council to limit annual endowment spending to 5% of the average value of endowment for the twelve quarters ending in June of the previous year. When the endowment declined significantly in 2008, the Council made the prudent decision to hold spending to 4% and to avoid spending from specific endowment funds having values below the original gift amount, starting in 2009. These practices continued through 2013. For 2014, a conservative increase to a spending rate of 4.25% was approved and a planned spending rate of 4.50% has been approved for 2015. The 2014 investment return on the endowment was positive at approximately 5.3%.
NAS Highlights
Endowment, Trust, and Other Long-term Investments Portfolio
As the Chairman of the Finance Committee, I am responsible, along with the other committee members, for the prudent management of the endowment and trust fund. The goal of the endowment is to provide stable support for the Academy’s programs and activities over time while maintaining the value of the corpus of the endowment in real (inflation adjusted) terms. To achieve this goal, the Council, acting on the recommendation of the Finance Committee, has historically authorized spending from the portfolio at a rate designed to maintain the purchasing power of the endowment over time. The current spending rule caps annual spending at 5% of the trailing 12-quarter average market value of the portfolio. As I have already noted, the Council limited spending to 4% from 2009 through 2013, increased spending to 4.25% in 2014, and has approved a planned spending rate of 4.50% in 2015.
The market value of the portfolio increased net of withdrawals and new contributions from $412.5 million on January 1, 2014, to $423.0 million at December 31, 2014. The portfolio returned 5.3% for the year, which was 1.3% higher than the benchmark return of 4.0%. The strongest contributors to the return for the year were U.S. equities. The private equity and venture capital funds also had good years overall and produced returns exceeding their benchmarks. Both developed and emerging non-U.S. equities had negative returns for the year, in line with their respective benchmarks.
The actual portfolio allocation and policy guidelines as of December 31, 2014, were as follows:
| Portfolio Allocation | Policy Guideline | |
| Fixed-Income: | ||
| U.S. fixed income/cash | 7% | 9% |
| Non-U.S. fixed income | 4% | 5% |
| Equities: | ||
| U.S. large equity | 22% | 19% |
| U.S. small/mid cap equity | 13% | 9% |
| Non-U.S. equity (developed) | 18% | 20% |
| Non-U.S. equity (emerging) | 10% | 15% |
| Real estate | 4% | 3% |
| Multi-strategy and private equity funds | 22% | 20% |
| Total | 100% | 100% |
Market values of the portfolio, after withdrawals, for the years ended December 31, 2014 and 2013, are displayed in the following chart (in thousands):
| 2014 | 2013 | |
| Cash and Fixed-Income Securities | $ 45,435 | $ 44,997 |
| Equity Securities | 377,554 | 367,506 |
| Total | $ 422,989 | $ 412,503 |
It is of some interest to compare our endowment performance with that of similar organizations. A good way of doing this is to review the results of the study of college and university endowments by the National Association of College and University Business Officers which found that as of June 30, 2014, the average 1, 5, and 10 year returns for endowments in the $100M - $500M range were 15.5%, 11.8%, and 7.1% respectively. The 1, 5, and 10 year returns of our endowment as of June 30, 2014 were 14.9%, 10.7%, and 6.9%, respectively. As you know, some years are better than others and that is why it is good to focus on the long-term return, for which the NAS endowment is performing similarly compared to its peers.
One further comparison may be useful. In gross terms, including the return on investments, the gifts received, and the withdrawals made for endowment expenditures, the increase in the value of the endowment over December 31, 2013 was 2.0%, exceeding the 0.8% inflation rate during the one year period. On the same basis, the endowment asset value has increased by 30.7% over the ten year period preceding December 31, 2014 for an average (compounded) rate of return of 2.7%, again in excess of the 2.1% annual inflation rate for the comparable period.
NAS General Funds
The NAS General Funds Budget, which provides unrestricted resources to support the activities of the Academy, receives its funding from the unrestricted portion of the NAS Endowment. As noted above, the Council has limited spending from the endowment, including the unrestricted portion, to 4% since 2009, increasing to 4.25% in 2014.
For 2014, funding for the General Funds Budget totaled $5.6 million and expenditures totaled $4.8 million, resulting in a surplus of approximately $848,000. Comparable figures for 2013 were $5.2 million in revenues, $4.8 million in expenditures, resulting in a surplus of approximately $353,000.
The 2014 NAS General Funds activity is summarized as follows (in thousands):
| Revenues: | |
| Unrestricted Endowment | $ 4,408 |
| Annual Giving from Members | 518 |
| Membership Dues | 338 |
| Annual Meeting | 332 |
| Other | 10 |
| Total Revenue | $ 5,606 |
| Development Office | $ 1,020 |
| Member Services: | |
| Annual Meeting | 653 |
| Other | 217 |
| Programs/Projects: | |
| Cultural Programs of the NAS | 320 |
| The Value of Social Science Research | 150 |
| Committee on International | |
| Security & Arms Control | 198 |
| InterAcademy Council | 135 |
| Foreign Meetings & Other Expenses | 581 |
| President’s Office | 16 |
| NAS Executive Office | 672 |
| NRC Operations | 796 |
| Total Expenses | $ 4,758 |
| Surplus | $ 848 |
Any surplus in the General Funds Budget at the end of the year is added to the NAS Reserve; similarly, deficits are funded from the Reserve, which is invested in the NAS Endowment and Trust Pool. The NAS Reserve had a market value of $5.2 million on December 31, 2014, to which the 2014 surplus will be added.
The NAS Council has approved a General Funds Budget of $5.8 million for 2015, which is based on a slightly increased endowment expenditure rate of 4.50%.
Prizes and Awards
Several award funds have existed for more than 100 years, while others were established more recently. The Home Secretary oversees the nomination process that selects award recipients and recommends to the Council (subject to legal and financial review) changes in the award cycle, amounts of the honoraria, and any other administrative changes.
Journal Publications
Financial results of the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences are shown below for the years ended December 31, 2014 and 2013 (in thousands):
|
2014 |
2013 |
|
| Revenues: | ||
| Subscriptions | $ 7,151 | $ 8,720 |
| Author charges | 6,846 | 6,793 |
| Other | 2 | 28 |
| Total | $ 13,999 | $ 15,541 |
| Expenses: | ||
| Publishing | $ 7,636 | $ 8,030 |
| Other | 5,690 | 5,708 |
| Total | $ 13,326 | $ 13,738 |
| Net | $ 673 | $ 1,803 |
Facilities
NAS owns the following facilities:
NAS leases a facility at 8619 Westwood Center Drive in Vienna, Virginia for the National Academies Data Center.
Development Office Programs
The NAS, including the IOM, is grateful for the generous support of members, friends, and philanthropic organizations. Philanthropic support enables the Academies to focus on innovative work that cuts across interdisciplinary boundaries and to resolve important national problems that the government cannot or is not yet ready to sponsor. It also helps us to initiate leading-edge studies, for which major funding is raised from other sources.
Unrestricted philanthropic support is a vital resource for the Academies. In 2014, the NAS and IOM received approximately $1.85 million in unrestricted expendable support. These funds were raised through support of the annual funds and the IOM’s Harvey V. Fineberg Impact Fund:
Many gifts and grants were received for restricted purposes to fund the numerous projects and activities of the NAS and IOM. The selected gifts described below highlight the scope of philanthropic support received during 2014:
scientists and engineers to local opinion leaders to promote and support informed community decision-making, received a grant of $200,000 from the Simons Foundation.
These gifts represent the many ways that members, friends, and organizations supported the NAS in 2014. This support is essential to the Academy’s ability to fulfill its mission as scientific adviser to the nation and we deeply appreciate the philanthropic support from our many donors.
NRC Highlights
Revenues
The two main sources of revenue for the NRC are the U.S. government and private / nonfederal entities. The total contract and grant revenue from both of these sources totaled $293.5million in 2014 and $286.2 million in 2013.
U.S. Government Contracts and Grants
NRC activities, conducted in response to requests from a broad range of U.S. government agencies, are funded through cost-reimbursable non-fee contracts and grants.
The total amount reimbursed by the U.S. government agencies in the year ended December 31, 2014, was $231.2 million (see following chart and the Statements of Activities on page 52) and in the year ended December 31, 2013, was $231.3 million.
| U.S. Government Revenues by Agency ($ in thousands) | |
| Agency for International Development | $ 10,389 |
| Department of Agriculture | 1,174 |
| Department of Commerce | 6,857 |
| Department of Defense: | 1,912 |
| Defense Threat Reduction Agency | |
| Department of the Air Force | 6,935 |
| Department of the Army | 9,688 |
| Department of Defense | 2,931 |
| Department of the Navy | 12,397 |
| Department of Education | 135 |
| Department of Energy | 6,898 |
| Department of Health and Human Services | 15,535 |
| Department of Homeland Security | 3,390 |
| Department of the Interior | 1,015 |
| Department of Justice | 1,150 |
| Department of State | 2,488 |
| Department of Transportation | 100,620 |
| Department of Treasury | 344 |
| Department of Veterans Affairs | 5,756 |
| Environmental Protection Agency | 4,267 |
| Executive Office of the President | 113 |
| Government Accountability Office | 144 |
| General Services Administration | 45 |
| Institute of Museum and Library Services | 6 |
| National Aeronautics and Space Administration | 6,509 |
| National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency | 101 |
| National Science Foundation | 14,491 |
| National Security Agency | 13 |
| National Transportation Safety Board | 17 |
| Nuclear Regulatory Commission | 1,098 |
| Office of the Director of National Intelligence | 963 |
| Social Security Administration | 1,882 |
| U.S. Arctic Research Commission | 39 |
| Adjustment to Indirect Cost Receivable & Other | 11,886 |
| Total U.S. Government Agencies | $ 231,188 |
Private/Nonfederal Contracts and Grants
Private sponsors provided for new initiatives and cosponsored government projects by funding awards in the amount of $62.3 million in 2014, compared with $55.0 million in 2013. The private and nonfederal revenues were comprised of contracts and grants ($49.3 million) and other contributions ($13.0 million). (See Statements of Activities on page 52.)
Expenses
Almost all government and private contracts and grants are cost-reimbursable agreements. Therefore, even if the revenues and expenses are not equal in any one given year, the revenues and expenses will be the same over the life of the award.
As in many universities and nonprofit institutions, indirect cost expenditures provide necessary support services and should be kept in reasonable proportion to program expenditures. Historically, NRC management has successfully maintained a relatively constant relationship between program and support costs, i.e., the growth rate of indirect costs has been approximately equal to the growth rate of direct costs. During 2013 and 2014, management worked to reduce the indirect costs to keep them in line with the declining and then stabilizing program level. In 2014, total indirect expenses were $71.1 million compared to an approved initial budget of $74.6 million. The 2015 indirect budget has been set at $76.6 million.
Related Entities
Many financial transactions take place between the member organizations of the National Academies. The NRC serves as the clearinghouse for these transactions. However, it is important to note that only the financial activity and results of the NAS, NAE, IOM, and NRC are included in these financial statements. The financial activity and results of the National Academy of Engineering Fund (NAEF) and The National Academies’ Corporation (TNAC) are audited and reported separately. Financial information for the NAEF is available on request from the NAE Finance Office; information for TNAC is available from the NAS Controller’s Office.
Overall Financial Condition
The main reason for the large decrease in revenues from 2013 to 2014 is the $471 million of revenue recognized in 2013 for the Gulf Research Program. Funds for this program will be expended over the life of the program, which is no more than 30 years.
|
2014 |
2013 |
|
| Total Revenues | $ 358.6 | $ 847.5 |
| Total Expenses | 332.3 | 325.3 |
| Change in Net Assets | $ 26.3 | $ 522.2 |
Net assets, or assets minus liabilities, can be a measurement of a not-for-profit organization’s ability to reinvest net income toward its mission while also maintaining reserves and helping protect against inflation. The NAS 2014 results of operations are further described in the financial statements starting on page 51.
Conclusion
I would like to thank the members of the Council, the Committee on Budget and Internal Affairs, the Finance Committee, and the NRC leadership for their continued support. Also, special thanks are extended to the Office of the Chief Financial Officer, led by Mary “Didi” Salmon, our CFO, for help in managing the Endowment and Trust Pool, providing steady oversight of the Academy’s various budgets, and paying careful attention to the Academy’s financial systems, records and reports.
Jeremiah P. Ostriker
Treasurer