This paper describes issues and challenges in inventing and regulating new medicines, vaccines, and devices and in integrating these advances into clinical practices as rapidly as appropriate and possible. It describes the landscape of discovery and invention, evaluation of efficacy and safety, determination of value, and postapproval surveillance and identifies windows of opportunity. It provides the rationale for markedly enhanced patient input throughout the process from target identification to decisions regarding insurance coverage. It describes the role of academe–industry collaboration in speeding the translation of research findings into health benefits and emphasizes the opportunity for medical education at multiple levels to realize the value of therapeutic innovations to society. Finally, it offers high-priority recommendations.
The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sectors experienced considerable challenges during the first decade of the 21st century. Stagnant research and development (R&D) productivity and the slow pace and high cost of drug development led many to argue for new approaches to discovery, manufacturing, development, and commercialization of new products to meet patients’ needs. Estimated costs for bringing a new drug to market through the research, development, and regulatory processes may be as much as $2.6 billion, a substantial increase over the previous decade (TCSDD, 2015). The complexities of the analytics and cost attributions present challenges that are sources of active discussion, but there is no
question that the costs are substantial. Furthermore, about 85 percent of therapies fail through early clinical development, and only half those surviving to Phase III will be approved (Ledford, 2011). Some have argued that this “clinical-trial cliff” results from losing a substantial number of good drugs to outdated and impractical clinical-trial designs (Ledford, 2011). Those challenges are forcing all sectors (industry, regulators, academe, government agencies, and patient advocacies) to evaluate opportunities to replace traditional drug-development paradigms with newer and more efficient models (Boname et al., 2016; IOM, 2010; Kaitlin and Honig, 2013).
Favorable trends in new-product approvals and breakthrough therapies over the last few years indicate that efforts to adapt to a new landscape of bioinnovation may be starting to pay off. In 2015, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved 45 novel drugs or biologics, more than the average number approved each year during the last decade (28) while applications for new approvals were steady. More “orphan” drugs for rare diseases are being approved than in previous years, and we are seeing regulatory approval of new treatments for broader conditions, such as various forms of cancer, heart failure, hypercholesterolemia, and infectious disease. Furthermore, the use of expedited regulatory pathways (fast track, accelerated approval, priority review, and breakthrough designation) for therapies (60 percent of novel drugs in 2015) that will offer much to patients in need has accelerated.
In the United States, several initiatives are under way to accelerate pharmaceutical innovation. Eight recommendations in the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology 2012 report sought to “double the output of innovative new medicines for patients with important unmet medical needs, while increasing drug efficacy and safety, through industry, academia and government working together to decrease clinical failure, clinical trial costs, time to market and regulatory uncertainty” (PCAST, 2012). The president’s ambitious Precision Medicine Initiative (whitehouse.gov/precision-medicine) was kicked off in 2015, and FDA has offered accelerated approval pathways for specialized treatments for rare and life-threatening diseases. Approval of the 21st Century Cures Act by Congress could further speed regulatory approvals for therapies that will have a substantial effect on patients’ lives. The Critical Path Institute (https://c-path.org) was established in 2005 with the aim of bringing academic, industry, and regulatory scientists together to improve the drug and device development process. TransCelerate BioPharma (transceleratebiopharmainc.com) is a nonprofit organization whose mission is to foster collaboration throughout the biopharmaceutical R&D community to drive more efficient delivery of effective new medicines to improve the health of people worldwide. Finally, the Innovative Medicines Initiative (imi.europa.eu) is Europe’s largest
public–private initiative; it was undertaken jointly by the European Union and the pharmaceutical industry to speed the development of better and safer medicines. The number of precompetitive collaborations designed to improve drug development continues to grow, increasing the odds that the future will see improved productivity of innovative therapies.
Opportunities abound to improve efficiency in the discovery phase of new therapy development, including the following:
Over two-thirds of the total cost, in both dollars and time, of the discovery and development of a new drug is embedded in the clinical-testing phase. Hence, it is critical that advances in such arenas as biomarkers, patient-reported outcomes, innovative clinical-trial designs, use of real-world evidence (RWE), and precision medicine be deployed in this phase for optimal advantage.
Beyond innovative designs, there are opportunities for greater efficiency in the execution of clinical trials, as follows:
Regulators increasingly will have to respond to the expectations of a wide array of stakeholders outside the biomedical-research community. The current societal imperatives—expediting products for unmet medical needs and generating better evidence to optimize therapy when alternatives exist—will probably strengthen in the next decade. Intensifying interest of patient groups, legislatures, and the mass media will lead to expansion of regulators’ tasks in such spheres as global harmonization and “regulatory convergence,” access to investigational drugs, use of real-world evidence (RWE) in regulatory decisions, clinical-trial data transparency, and response to outbreaks and pandemics. Regulators increasingly will need to take into account the needs of payers and technology assessors when considering trial design and outcome measures.
Historically, patients have not been engaged in medical-product development beyond their participation in clinical trials. However, the paradigm is changing. Patient input from early-stage R&D through the postapproval period, including insurance-coverage decisions, is increasingly recognized as essential (Norris et al., 2015; Pogorelc, 2013). Many stakeholders—including researchers, drug developers, and FDA—are starting to engage patients to develop mutually beneficial core objectives and ensure greater public acceptance. The mandate of regulators emphasizes needs of and risks to the population, but patients have views of the benefit:risk ratio that emphasize the individual perspective. Those views often differ substantially and need to be reconciled. Engaging patients directly will ensure that medical products are designed to meet their needs and that clinical trials capture information that is relevant and specific to intended end users. Learning and change for all participants in the health ecosystem will
be necessary to speed and enable the integration of patient preference into the health care system and overcome the uncertainty and unfamiliarity associated with patient-preference data.
Patient input can help greatly to identify unmet needs and set research priorities by influencing end-point selection and clinical-trial design and conduct; this will result in easier and faster clinical-trial recruitment, less burdensome trials, and the evaluation of outcomes relevant to patients (Hoos et al., 2015). By ensuring that new products reflect patients’ needs, stakeholders can avoid expensive errors. For example, billions of dollars were spent on development of Exubera, an inhalable form of insulin, but it was removed from the market after only 1 year when people who had diabetes did not see sufficient benefit from the product (Heinemann, 2008). The result of patient engagement is new treatments that meet patients’ needs. The practice of including patient input throughout a product’s life cycle is growing and evolving, but many challenges must be overcome to achieve a patient-centered drug-development process, including the following:
Priority considerations for increasing patient engagement in developing new treatments include:
Within the next decade, whole-genome sequencing and an understanding of the molecular profiles of cancers and therapies targeted to alterations in cancer have the potential to usher in an age of personalized medicine and novel approaches to drug discovery. Despite the promise of exceptional health and health care, we continue to have a disconnect between clinical knowledge and the evidence basis of care on the one hand and the care that is delivered to patients on the other hand. Clinicians, particularly primary care physicians—who are taking on a greater role as coordinators of care—and specialists, are unable to keep up with the explosion of information (over 1 million health-related publications each year). Our health information systems do not provide sufficient clinical support and advanced analytics to guide care or innovative care models. We are living in an age of big data, but we are not optimizing the use of the data. For example, during the 1990s, many women needlessly underwent bone-marrow transplantation for breast cancer before it was shown to be an ineffective treatment.
How do we close the time gap between the development of new evidence and its integration into practice? Several notable approaches that will serve as a framework for the future are under way. They involve the use of RWE and collaborations among sectors of the health care system that will generate knowledge about the best use of drugs, devices, and clinical models of care; cognitive
computing to understand the most effective and appropriate interventions for enhanced clinical outcomes; specialists working in their professional organizations to guide clinical care, reduce the current variation in care, and promote evidence-based care; harmonized quality measures and payment instruments; effective leveraging of new organizational structures and their clinical leaders; and the enabling of patients to facilitate shared information and become partners in care.
Many of the efforts and suggestions presented in this paper will not be realized unless the knowledge and understanding of policymakers and the public are enhanced. We believe that strategic federal initiatives to increase understanding about the role of clinical trials, about the need to increase participation, and about the importance of clinical trials to society would constitute a worthwhile investment in the health of Americans.
This paper is replete with descriptions of actions now under way or recommended that would serve as levers for progress or change in policy. We conclude by reemphasizing a subset of them and highlighting options for strategic federal initiatives. New policies and strategic investment can be leveraged to create value, decrease costs, create jobs, and strengthen global leadership in health innovations by the United States. Progress is already being made to implement the strategies outlined here. Many of the new agents that are in development have the potential to transform or even cure diseases (such as some cancers or hepatitis C, respectively) for which there were no treatments in the past. The success of translational R&D is increasing, and FDA has been rising to the challenge posed by the increasing number of new drug candidates by establishing “breakthrough therapy” and other “fast-track” mechanisms to facilitate the rapid and responsible movement of important advances to patient care.
However, moving such advances to patients as rapidly as possible presents many challenges. Innovative designs for clinical trials can reduce development time and expenses. Such designs are especially effective in demonstrating “proof of concept” and determining efficacy. They can facilitate arriving at “no-go” decisions, thus saving time and money. But, there is no shortcut for assessing safety in humans. Confidence in a given “level of safety” of a drug, vaccine, or device is established by the number of people exposed, the duration of exposure, and, when appropriate, the magnitude of exposure. Shorter trials with fewer participants are inherently linked to a lower level of confidence.
Without understanding of some of the potential compromises that arise from speedier drug-development approaches, earlier regulatory approval that is based on such trials places the inventors of drugs at greater vulnerability in our litigious society, especially when society and the mass media assume that FDA approval means that a new drug is absolutely safe and effective for
everyone. The legal and educational issues in this arena would benefit from strategic federal intervention.
Harmonization or convergence of regulation among countries and regions is a pressing need with respect to new medicines, vaccines, and devices. Convergence will reduce development costs, decrease patient exposure to experimental drugs and devices, and speed worthy innovations to those in need globally.
Precision medicine holds great promise. But, as advances in genotyping, proteomics, and so on identify more and more populations in a given disease category, challenges to the business model for biopharmaceuticals increase. For example, although the cost of developing a precise therapy for 10 percent of a disease population is likely to be less than that of developing an agent generated through conventional methods, the accompanying decrease in cost is unlikely to be 90 percent. And, although the value of such precision products is greater, the market will be much smaller than that for products prescribed without “precision” to the general population for a given disease. New approaches to determining value will be essential to provide incentives for drug invention without placing an onerous financial burden on individuals and society.
Antibiotic resistance and bioterrorism are other domains in which the business model is challenging but the needs are essential for the future health of Americans. Population medicine impels us to be good stewards of antibiotics to slow the emergence of antibiotic resistance in pathogens. However, creating antibiotics in the hope that they will be rarely, if ever, used runs counter to the conventional business model. The same conundrum is faced in inventing vaccines and anti-infectives for agents that might be used in bioterrorism. Without government programs to address the need for innovative anti-infectives and vaccines, there is little incentive to invest over the long term, especially if other therapeutic needs do not face this challenge. Given the threat of virulent epidemics and bioterrorism, it might even be possible to address the needs through multinational programs; for example, the United States, Europe, Japan, and other countries could collaborate, dividing the labor and financial costs of programs directed at global solutions.
As discussed earlier, FDA’s Sentinel initiative is being used to detect safety signals earlier and with greater sensitivity. There is interest in using the same huge clinical database to obtain RWE of efficacy. But, most clinical databases have flaws. The US government could assemble experts and stakeholders to create measures to improve the databases, set standards, and recommend appropriate methods for specific categories of inquiry.
The complexity of issues in health and medicine that our society needs to address is so enormous that no sector can devise or implement solutions on its
own. The negative climate around academe–industry interactions strains current collaborations and inhibits formation of new ones. If this situation persists, the position of the United States versus global competition will be disadvantaged. NIH, FDA, other government agencies, academe, and industry could do more to reaffirm their common goals and encourage scientists, especially younger ones, to work at interfaces of these sectors.
Keeping NIH and FDA strong in leadership and funding will reap rewards in health and finances. Scientific and regulatory efforts in predictive animal models of human toxicity and efficacy and biomarkers for specific diseases, especially in neuroscience (e.g., Alzheimer’s disease) and oncology, could speed innovation and diminish risk.
None of the means for speeding and evaluating innovation will improve health without enhancement of avenues for introducing advances into clinical care. Several mechanisms are being tried, and other promising ones are on the horizon. It is important for professionals who provide care to use them, especially in an environment of increasing (appropriate) pressure on physicians to control costs. Cost containment is increasingly incorporated into physician-payment systems. That leads to more pressure to demonstrate the “value” of innovative therapy through comparative-effectiveness (and, when feasible, cost-effectiveness) studies. For innovations to be accepted and prescribed by physicians, their value—not only their effectiveness—must be demonstrated.
With the right policies and investment, there is good reason to believe that innovations will improve the health of Americans and people around the globe while maintaining US leadership and strengthening the US economy.
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Michael Rosenblatt, MD, is Chief Medical Officer, Flagship Ventures. Portion written while Executive Vice President, Chief Medical Officer, Merck & Co., Inc. Christopher P. Austin, MD, is Director, National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences, National Institutes of Health. Marc Boutin, JD, is Chief Executive Officer, National Health Council. William W. Chin, MD, is Chief Medical Officer, and Executive Vice President of Science and Regulatory Advocacy, Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America. Steven K. Galson, MD, MPH, is Senior Vice President, Amgen, Inc. Sachin H. Jain, MD, MBA, is CEO and Chief Medical Officer, CareMore Health Group, Inc. Michelle McMurry-Heath, MD, PhD, is Vice President, Worldwide Regulatory Affairs, Johnson & Johnson. Samuel R. Nussbaum, MD, is Senior
Fellow, University of Southern California Schaeffer Center for Health Policy and Economics. John Orloff, MD, is R&D Biopharmaceutical Executive and former Executive Vice President, Global Head of R&D and Chief Scientific Officer, Baxalta. Steven E. Weinberger, MD, is Executive Vice President and CEO, American College of Physicians. Janet Woodcock, MD, is Director, Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, Food and Drug Administration.
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