TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH BOARD OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES OF SCIENCES, ENGINEERING AND MEDICINE PRIVILEGED DOCUMENT
This document, not released for publication, is furnished only for review to members of or participants in the work of NCHRP. This document is to be regarded as fully privileged and the dissemination of the information included herein must be approved by NCHRP.
Aditi Manke
Abhijit Sarkar
Matthew Camden
Alejandra Medina
Tammy Trimble
Christie Ridgeway
Virginia Tech Transportation Institute
Blacksburg, VA
Permission to use an unoriginal material has been obtained from all copyright holders as needed
Based on the results from the previous outreach efforts of interviews and workshops as well as the feedback received from the panel members, the research team finalized 11 research problem statements. The research team also referenced the National Artificial Intelligence R&D Strategic Plan published in 2019. The following eight key strategies highlighted in that report were considered during the development of the problem statements:
The problem statements are discussed in detail with background information on why this research needs to be conducted and the expected tasks, budget, and duration necessary to achieve required research objectives. The research team identified six research areas where they felt the proposed draft roadmap ideas would address the problems in those areas. The six research areas are:
Equity, policy, and planning Table 24 shows how the draft problem statements covers one or more of those research areas.
Table 24. Grouping the roadmap ideas by research focus areas.
| Problem Statement Title | Research Areas | Expected Budget | Duration (Months) | |||||
| Workforce & Infrastructure Development | Readiness and Evaluation of AI | Challenges in Adopting AI | Current Practices and Prioritization | External Collaboration | Policy & Planning | |||
| Case Studies of Successful Implementation of Artificial Intelligence Programs in State and Local Departments of Transportation | X | X | X | X | X | $250K | 18 | |
| Problem Statement Title | Research Areas | Expected Budget | Duration (Months) | |||||
| Workforce & Infrastructure Development | Readiness and Evaluation of AI | Challenges in Adopting AI | Current Practices and Prioritization | External Collaboration | Policy & Planning | |||
| Toolbox to Guide the Selection and Deployment of Artificial Intelligence Technologies in State and Local Transportation Agencies | X | X | X | X | $300K | 24 | ||
| Workforce Needs and Development to Prepare Transportation Agencies for the Application of Existing and Emerging Artificial Intelligence Approaches | X | X | X | $250K | 24 | |||
| Implementable Funding Strategies for Artificial Intelligence Opportunity Applications for State and Local DOTs | X | X | X | X | $150K | 12 | ||
| Develop a Guidebook to Understand the Vulnerability and Security Concerns for AI-based Transportation Solutions | X | X | X | $300K | 24 | |||
| Exploring the Integration of AI-based Methods in Multimodal Transportation Planning | X | X | X | X | $200K | 24 | ||
| Validation of Artificial Intelligence Applications for Automated Pavement Condition Evaluation | X | X | X | $500K | 36 | |||
| Problem Statement Title | Research Areas | Expected Budget | Duration (Months) | |||||
| Workforce & Infrastructure Development | Readiness and Evaluation of AI | Challenges in Adopting AI | Current Practices and Prioritization | External Collaboration | Policy & Planning | |||
| Explore Natural Language Processing-based Methods for Document Management and Public Interaction at DOTs | X | X | X | $550K | 30 | |||
| Develop a Guidebook for Successful Collaboration with Industry Partners that Provides AI-based Solutions | X | X | X | X | $400K | 24 | ||
| Guidebook to Create Sharable, Reliable Sources of Data Sets | X | X | X | X | X | $350K | 24 | |
| Creating a framework to process and manage data collected by DOTs | X | X | X | X | $150K | 18 | ||
AI is increasingly available for state and local DOTs to solve their transportation challenges. However, most applications of AI within the transportation industry are still from early adopters of the technologies. To further accelerate the adoption of AI within state DOTs, results from NCHRP Project 23-12 Artificial Intelligence Opportunities for State and Local DOTs – A Research Roadmap show that state and local DOTs need independent evidence on the application and effectiveness of AI programs. This finding highlights the need for additional research to identify challenges, benefits, opportunities, and effectiveness data on the use and adoption of AI technologies from early DOT adopters.
This proposed activity will help develop case studies and document lessons learned from the early adoption of AI within DOTs. The case study results will gather critical data on challenges faced by DOTs when implementing AI, strategies to overcome barriers, cost data on AI deployment AI, workforce development issues, and effectiveness data. These data can be used by other DOTs in considering, planning, and implementing AI within their agency.
The objective of this research will be to document case studies of the successful implementation of AI programs within state and local DOTs to improve the efficiency or safety of the transportation system.
$250,000
18 months
AI, including Machine Learning, Natural Language Processing, computer vision, big data analysis, deep neural networks, and multimodal sensor processing, has experienced unprecedent advancements in the previous 10 years. These advancements improved the ability to process large-scale data and high-speed computing to achieve faster and more accurate results. With the growth of these technologies, many enterprises and researchers have developed useful AI-based solutions that can be used to solve challenges in diverse applications, including transportation. For example, state DOTs and local transportation agencies have utilized AI-based programs for traffic incident detection, traffic flow analysis, identification of pedestrian and other vulnerable road user traffic patterns, evaluation of roadway conditions, evaluation and planning of winter maintenance activities, and improving access to transportation-related information, among many other areas.
Although the potential applications of AI-based solutions increased in recent years, transportation agencies often lack the information and guidelines for the selection, prioritization, and deployment of AI-solutions. As documented in NCHRP Project 23-12 Artificial Intelligence Opportunities for State and Local DOTs – A Research Roadmap, state DOTs and local transportation agencies identified a lack of information, tools, and educational resources as major barriers for the implementation of AI within their agencies. As reviewed in this report, transportation agencies need guidelines and tools to prioritize effective AI-based solutions and to accelerate their adoption to realize the benefits. This informational toolbox should be designed to help transportation agencies identify the following:
This toolbox will facilitate decisions by transportation agencies in determining where to implement new AI technologies within DOTs and which technologies are likely to be the most beneficial. The tools and information developed in this project will provide transportation agencies with evidence-based, objective data to inform decisions on AI solutions and to offer parameters and guidelines to improve the implementation of effective technologies.
The primary objective of this project is to develop decision tools and guidelines transportation agencies can use in assessing and deploying effective AI solutions. It is expected that this toolkit will help agencies to evaluate the readiness of AI technologies and prioritize the deployment of AI projects.
$300,000
24 months
Implementing changes to accelerate the adoption of Artificial Intelligence (AI) approaches for transportation-related applications relies on educating the workforce in general, and DOT personnel specifically. Some states have already acknowledged workforce requirements to meet the needs of incorporating AI technologies in everyday and future processes. States have identified problems relating to the availability of a capable workforce, the definition of the skills that will be needed, and competition with private industry for qualified workers. Further, those who do have a strong background in AI do not generally have experience with transportation applications. In thinking about the application of AI technologies to create better solutions to transportation problems, agencies mention an expectation from upper management for the agency as a whole to support the application of AI technologies. However, they tend to underestimate the need for resources in general, and the workforce in particular. This lack of workforce expertise within DOTs related to machine learning restricts states’ abilities to promote AI projects.
While state DOTs agree there are benefits to promoting and finding trustworthy partners in universities and private industry, there is also agreement on the need for a strong state DOT counterpart workforce throughout the process. Strategies to address these workforce challenges have included hiring employees with the necessary capabilities, working with partner agencies and other stakeholders (e.g., contractors, industry partners, and the general population); establishing working groups focused on workforce development activities; and supporting employees as they pursue the acquisition of new skills. To maximize the benefits associated with the identification and implementation of transportation-related AI projects, there is a need to identify the workforce skills, education, and training for the development and implementation of AI solutions. In the near term, this could include identifying the necessary skills, developing skills courses, and making the courses available to DOT personnel. In addition, DOTs should encourage employee participation at national and local AI-related forums and encourage peer-to-peer knowledge transfer within and between DOTs.
By working to identify the necessary skills to implement AI in transportation-related solutions and the necessary resources to develop the associated skills and training, DOTs will be better prepared to develop and implement AI solutions moving forward.
The objectives of this research are (a) to identify workforce AI development, deployment, and management needs, for and (b) to gather and/or develop job descriptions for AI-related positions, and (c) to provide recommendations for developing and deploying the required training/certifications. The research must identify current workforce needs and the associated strategies for building capacity into the future as technology evolves.
$250,000
24 months
The U.S. DOT considers AI to be one of the instruments with the potential to advance transportation through revolutionary solutions to transportation challenges. Based on the outreach conducted for NCHRP Project 23-12 Artificial Intelligence Opportunities for State and Local DOTs – A Research Roadmap, the lack of available funding for AI initiatives was seen as a major barrier to implementation. It was noted that funding opportunities call for projects that support the integration of new technologies; however, very few of these opportunities specifically reference AI. Additionally, DOTs have limited resources and budgets for AI. As a result, the lack of funding information and limited resources lead to hesitation to propose the use of AI in existing or future transportation solutions. Thus, there is a need to identify how state and local DOTs can use existing and new funding mechanisms to test and incorporate AI into transportation processes.
This proposed activity will help raise state and local agency awareness of the different avenues available for obtaining federal and regional funding to incorporate AI in transportation agency projects. The results of this research may also provide smaller local agencies with the information they need to better compete for funding.
The objective of this research will be to identify existing and new funding mechanisms for the development, testing and incorporation of AI into existing and future transportation processes. Additionally, this research will characterize the best practices associated with the estimation of project costs and the identification of matching funds.
$250,000
12 months.
AI-based transportation solutions are often governed by black box models. Black box models refer to models. Modern AI-based methods provide high performance, but to the detriment of explainability. AI methods can also result in unwanted biases, depending on how they were developed. Adversarial attacks can make AI methods produce incorrect results and create security vulnerabilities. Lastly, most AI methods perform well in a specified domain, but fail to generalize in other domains. These limitations can make AI-based methods vulnerable in many ways. Therefore, a deeper understanding of AI methods and limitations is critical. This project aims to create a guidebook to help decision makers within transportation agencies better understand these possible limitations, biases, and vulnerabilities. These can vary by their application within a DOT, the complexity of the application, and the methods and toolsets used for the targeted solution. This project will highlight the risk of these limitations for various applications and create a guidebook for an explainability and testing regime that will promote efficient AI deployment.
This project will highlight the risks and limitations for various applications and create a guidebook for an explainability and testing regime that will promote efficient AI deployment. Explainable AI (XAI) is a growing field of research that offers explanation to many of the black box models. One additional objective of this research is to determine how XAI can be used for transportation research to guarantee robust solutions.
$300,000
24 months.
For a transportation system to be efficient and fair, it must serve diverse demands. For most of the last century, transport planning has heavily centered around automobiles. As a result, most communities have well-developed road systems that allow people to drive to most destinations. This kind of planning has left out non-automobile travel demands, and over the years the automobile-focused road system has seen an increase in travel time and traffic congestion.
Multimodal transportation planning is a comprehensive approach to urban or regional transportation systems that aims to integrate and optimize various modes of transportation to improve efficiency, accessibility, and sustainability. The goal of multimodal transportation planning is to create a seamless and convenient travel experience for users, allowing them to easily switch between different modes of transportation during their journeys. It promotes diverse modes of transportation, focuses on public benefits, and strategizes transportation planning based on the socioeconomic condition of a certain area, their land usage, and available connectivity between transportation hubs. As a result, this can facilitate addressing environmental sustainability, benefiting a large population of users, and promoting equity, especially for underprivileged groups.
The proposed project will educate city planners and transit agencies about different AI-based predictive models and how integrating these models into transportation management will benefit them in improving traffic monitoring and forecasting. Creating models that consider all modes of transportation will help planners in improving and redesigning transport systems that meet various user needs.
The objective of this project is to study some of the predictive models that look at reducing travel time and peak period congestion, determine some of the gaps and limitations in the existing models, and identify if new variables need to be considered in the predictive models. The project should also focus on data analysis techniques that model the travel demands as well as data on safety and safe travel perceptions of vulnerable road users.
$200,000
24 months
Advanced laser- and image-based pavement systems have been widely adopted by highway agencies in the last decade for automated pavement condition assessment, while 2D imaging technologies, smartphones, and tablets are also used to perform pavement condition evaluation, especially for local transportation agencies. The data collected are then used to extract pavement distresses automatically through various methods, often using AI. However, there are still pending challenges associated with the assessment of the accuracy and precision of the reported distress identification and measurements required for network- and/or project-level pavement management decisions.
An ongoing NCHRP synthesis is documenting state DOT current practices of automated pavement distress identification using AI (ML/deep learning) technologies for pavement condition evaluation. This effort will document the requirements for automated pavement distress identification; various applications of pavement distress condition information; types of agency decision-making supported by pavement condition data; AI technologies, tools, and models currently being used; and reference/benchmark data used in AI-technique development, training, and evaluation.
This proposed activity will help establish the required protocols and standards to facilitate the adoption of AI for pavement assessment within DOTs. This will help harmonize pavement condition evaluation nationwide and reduce the cost of pavement condition data collection.
The proposed research project will build on the findings of the synthesis to define processes, protocols, and baseline reference data sets to test and validate approaches and tools for automatic identification and quantification of pavement distresses. The outcome will be a series of proposed American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO) standard practices and protocols to assess and validate automated pavement condition approaches, processes, and tools.
$500.000
36 months.
In recent years, NLP has become immensely successful. NLP helps to automatically study texts and documents. This shows promise in minimizing manual effort in document management, text summarization, and customer service. Large language models (LLMs) like ChatGPT have shown potential to automate tasks like customer service and can provide quick automated responses and custom messages, minimizing human interaction time. DOTs handle a large volume of documents every day. This may include project reports, environmental assessments, traffic studies, contracts and agreements, budget and financial reports, and employee information. NLP can significantly help in maintaining and interpreting these documents while reducing human hours. The goal of this project will be to identify key areas and tasks at DOTs where NLP can be useful. The project will also identify a list of available NLP tools. Finally, the project will demonstrate the benefits of NLP in several example use cases.
$550,000
30 months
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27 This project can be divided into two projects depending on the application area focus.
Currently, private companies lead in providing AI-based solutions. From our outreach efforts, we learned that many groups at DOTs will benefit from knowledge about existing AI resources, as they often struggle integrating these solutions into their programs. The last decade has seen the emergence of many AI-based solution providers. These companies enable easy integration of AI-based techniques related to software development, sensor technologies, data collection, data management, cloud computing, and data security. Some of these companies are dedicated to specific service areas like surveillance, supply chain management, asset management, and cybersecurity. Collaboration with these entities will help DOTs integrate the benefits of AI in the transportation application. Direct deployment of industry-based solutions will also minimize duplication of development efforts within DOTs.
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28 https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/National-Artificial-Intelligence-Research-and-Development-Strategic-Plan-2023-Update.pdf.
$400,000
24 months.
Partnership Development in the Federal Government: https://www.ida.org/research-andpublications/publications/all/p/pa/partnership-development-in-the-federal-government.
The current revolution of AI is driven by large-scale data, and most modern AI models are data driven. However, there is a scarcity of reliable large-scale data sources in transportation research that can help solve problems at scale. Many DOTs already collect their own data using advanced sensors; however, these data are often targeted for very specific applications and geographic areas using different parameters, data dictionaries, and formats. The data collection efforts across DOTs are often disjointed. This can result in duplication of effort and hinder the transfer of knowledge. Due to budget limitations and scope, this also results in sporadic collection and insufficient data for modern AI applications.
The other major problem in existing data and collection efforts is the reliability and completeness of the data. Every AI method has its own requirement for data structure, minimum quality, scale, and associated metadata. Any AI operational system should follow standard practice for developing such data sets. It is important to create guidelines on collection, annotations, storage, and sharing of data.
The process to collect, manage, and share large-scale data needs proper supervision and coordination. The data require protocols for safety, security, accessibility, and governance. Such a process also needs to include protocol for standardization across sensor modalities, target applications, data annotations and metadata, and updates. Therefore, this project aims to develop a roadmap for such efforts so that DOTs can benefit from this standard protocol and accelerate AI adoption.
$350,000
24 months
The last decade has shown that data is immensely valuable for research and development in transportation. Due to advancements in sensor systems, electronics, and data storage facilities, we are witnessing an increasing trend in data collection efforts. However, any data collection effort requires structure to process and manage the data. DOTs and their associated agencies collect, manage, and analyze vast amounts of data to support their mission to ensure a fast, safe, efficient, accessible, and convenient transportation system. Some common types of data collected include traffic volume flow data, crash data, infrastructure testing data, roadway sensors data, traffic data, and many more. The sheer volume and variety of data pose several challenges for DOTs to manage and process the collected data.
Significant progress has been made in creating AI tools for data-driven advanced analytics. There are a few market-ready resources that can be integrated at various levels of data management within DOTs. Resources like data integration platforms could help DOTs and partner agencies integrate data from various sources in real-time. Literature also highlights the availability of tools that can be useful at various steps of data management. Data annotation tools are available for labeling data—such as text, videos, or time series data—for better understanding and use in decision making. Data visualization is another important part of AI that is relevant to track performance measures, understand the results, and for model evaluation. Tableau and Power BI are some of the market-ready solutions that provide interactive data visualization tools that can be standalone, web-based, and collaborative. Data storage and advanced processing services are also available through cloud-based solutions (e.g., AWS, Oracle). Even though technological advancements exist, DOTs do not have all the resources at their disposal to undertake various data management tasks in-house. It is even unclear in what ways data analysis and AI can be used, and which tools are most suitable to manage large volumes of data. Therefore, guidance is needed to understand which AI resources are readily available and which can be adapted by US DOTs.
The proposed project will create a guidebook for DOTs and other partner transport agencies that will consist of data management and processing plans. A guidebook can provide standardized protocols for data collection, storage, and processing, ensuring that data across different departments is consistent and comparable. Guidelines or framework can also help ensure that data security and can serve as a primary resource for training DOT personnel.
This study will help create a manual and identify resources and AI tools to help data engineers in understanding the type of information that is collected and how it can be analyzed. This project will also
create a guidebook that emphasizes human-AI interaction to ensure there are no ethical biases during decision-making.
$150,000
18 months.