Acute Exposure Guideline Levels for Selected Airborne Chemicals: Volume 20 (2016)

Chapter: Appendix B Benchmark Concentration Calculations for Selected Chloroformates

Previous Chapter: Appendix A Biographical Information Committee on Acute Exposure Guidelines for Chloroformates
Suggested Citation: "Appendix B Benchmark Concentration Calculations for Selected Chloroformates." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2016. Acute Exposure Guideline Levels for Selected Airborne Chemicals: Volume 20. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/23634.

Appendix B

Benchmark Concentration Calculations for Selected Chloroformates

Benchmark Concentration Calculation for Methyl Chloroformate

The form of the probability function is:

P[response] = Background + (1-Background)*

CumNorm(Intercept+Slope*Log[Dose]),
where CumNorm(.) is the cumulative normal distribution function

Dependent variable = Mean

Independent variable = Dose

Slope parameter is not restricted

Total number of observations = 4

Total number of records with missing values = 0

Maximum number of iterations = 250

Relative Function Convergence has been set to: 1e-008

Parameter Convergence has been set to: 1e-008

User has chosen the log transformed model

Default Initial (and Specified) Parameter Values

Background = 0

Intercept = -20.4973

Slope = 5.16963

Asymptotic Correlation Matrix of Parameter Estimates

Intercept
Intercept 1

***The model parameter(s) background has been estimated at a boundary point, or has been specified by the user, and do not appear in the correlation matrix.

Suggested Citation: "Appendix B Benchmark Concentration Calculations for Selected Chloroformates." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2016. Acute Exposure Guideline Levels for Selected Airborne Chemicals: Volume 20. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/23634.

Parameter Estimates

Variable Estimate Standard Error
Background 0 NA
Intercept 71.9357 0.449759
Slope 18 NA

NA: indicates that this parameter has hit a bound implied by some inequality constraint and thus has no standard error.

Analysis of Deviance Table

Model Log (likelihood) Deviance Test DF P-value
Full model 5.00402
Fitted model 5.00722 0.00639048 3 0.9999
Reduced model 27.5256 45.0431 3 <0.0001

AIC: 12.0144.

Goodness of Fit Scaled

Dose Estimated Probability Expected Observed Size Residual
35.0000 0.0000 0.000 0 10 1.008e-007
45.0000 0.0003 0.003 0 10 0.0564
57.0000 0.7993 7.993 8 10 0.005272
73.0000 1.0000 10.000 10 10 0.0007765

Chi-square = 0.00; DF = 3; P-value = 1.0000.

Benchmark Dose Computation

Specified effect = 0.05

Risk Type = Extra risk

Confidence level = 0.95

BMD = 49.6524

BMDL = 42.4113

Image
FIGURE B-1 Prohibit model with 0.95 confidence level.

Suggested Citation: "Appendix B Benchmark Concentration Calculations for Selected Chloroformates." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2016. Acute Exposure Guideline Levels for Selected Airborne Chemicals: Volume 20. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/23634.

Benchmark Concentration Calculation for Allyl Chloroformate

The form of the probability function is:

P[response] = Background + (1-Background)

*CumNorm(Intercept+Slope*Log(Dose)),

where CumNorm(.) is the cumulative normal distribution function

Dependent variable = Mean

Independent variable = Dose

Slope parameter is not restricted

Total number of observations = 6

Total number of records with missing values = 0

Maximum number of iterations = 250

Relative Function Convergence has been set to: 1e-008

Parameter Convergence has been set to: 1e-008

User has chosen the log transformed model

Default Initial (and Specified) Parameter Values

Background = 0

Intercept = -7.2918

Slope = 1.72308

Asymptotic Correlation Matrix of Parameter Estimates

Intercept Slope
Intercept 1 -1
Slope -1 1

***The model parameter(s) background has been estimated at a boundary point, or has been specified by the user, and do not appear in the correlation matrix.

Parameter Estimates

Variable Estimate Standard Error
Background 0 NA
Intercept -10.3866 2.68182
Slope 2.48392 0.621724

NA: indicates that this parameter has hit a bound implied by some inequality constraint and thus has no standard error.

Analysis of Deviance Table

Model Log (likelihood) Deviance Test DF P-value
Full model 16.0896
Fitted model 17.3239 2.46858 4 0.6503
Reduced model 36.6519 41.1245 5 <0.0001

AIC: 38.6478.

Suggested Citation: "Appendix B Benchmark Concentration Calculations for Selected Chloroformates." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2016. Acute Exposure Guideline Levels for Selected Airborne Chemicals: Volume 20. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/23634.

Goodness of Fit Scaled

Dose Estimated Probability Expected Observed Size Residual
33.7000 0.0495 0.495 0 10 0.7219
65.0000 0.4929 4.929 6 10 0.6774
77.7000 0.6648 6.648 7 10 0.236
134.5000 0.9632 9.632 9 10 1.06
175.7000 0.9929 9.929 10 10 0.2674
233.3000 0.9992 9.992 10 10 0.08938

Chi-square = 2.24; DF = 4; P-value = 0.6919.

Benchmark Dose Computation

Specified effect = 0.05

Risk Type = Extra risk

Confidence level = 0.95

BMD = 33.7621

BMDL = 21.098

Image
FIGURE B-2 Prohibit model with 0.95 confidence level.

Benchmark Concentration Calculation for Phenyl Chloroformate

The form of the probability function is:

P[response] = Background + (1-Background)

*CumNorm(Intercept+Slope*Log(Dose)),

where CumNorm(.) is the cumulative normal distribution function

Suggested Citation: "Appendix B Benchmark Concentration Calculations for Selected Chloroformates." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2016. Acute Exposure Guideline Levels for Selected Airborne Chemicals: Volume 20. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/23634.

Dependent variable = Mean

Independent variable = Dose

Slope parameter is not restricted

Total number of observations = 8

Total number of records with missing values = 0

Maximum number of iterations = 250

Relative Function Convergence has been set to: 1e-008

Parameter Convergence has been set to: 1e-008

User has chosen the log transformed model

Default Initial (and Specified) Parameter Values

Background = 0

Intercept = -2.32244

Slope = 0.759796

Asymptotic Correlation Matrix of Parameter Estimates

Intercept Slope
Intercept 1 0.98
Slope 1

***The model parameter(s) background has been estimated at a boundary point, or has been specified by the user, and do not appear in the correlation matrix.

Parameter Estimates

Variable Estimate Standard Error
Background 0 NA
Intercept 4.60327 1.20324
Slope 1.35407 0.307109

NA: indicates that this parameter has hit a bound implied by some inequality constraint and thus has no standard error.

Analysis of Deviance Table

Model Log (likelihood) Deviance Test DF P-value
Full model 17.6143
Fitted model 18.0291 0.829451 6 0.9913
Reduced model 47.9918 60.755 7 <0.0001

AIC: 40.0581.

Suggested Citation: "Appendix B Benchmark Concentration Calculations for Selected Chloroformates." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2016. Acute Exposure Guideline Levels for Selected Airborne Chemicals: Volume 20. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/23634.

Goodness of Fit Scaled

Dose Estimated Probability Expected Observed Size Residual
1.7600 0.0001 0.001 0 10 0.02491
15.6000 0.1885 1.885 2 10 0.09264
44.5000 0.7040 7.040 7 10 0.02802
74.9000 0.8927 8.927 9 10 0.07446
97.0000 0.9442 9.442 9 10 0.6092
156.0000 0.9873 9.873 10 10 0.359
159.3000 0.9882 9.882 10 10 0.3459
311.0000 0.9992 9.992 10 10 0.08752

Chi-square = 0.64; DF = 6; P-value = 0.9956.

Benchmark Dose Computation

Specified effect = 0.05

Risk Type = Extra risk

Confidence level = 0.95

BMD = 8.88924

BMDL = 3.57025

Image
FIGURE B-3 Prohibit model with 0.95 confidence level.

Benchmark Concentration Calculation for 2-Ethylhexyl Chloroformate

The form of the probability function is:

P[response] = Background + (1-Background)

*CumNorm(Intercept+Slope*Log(Dose)),

where CumNorm(.) is the cumulative normal distribution function

Suggested Citation: "Appendix B Benchmark Concentration Calculations for Selected Chloroformates." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2016. Acute Exposure Guideline Levels for Selected Airborne Chemicals: Volume 20. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/23634.

Dependent variable = Mean

Independent variable = Dose

Slope parameter is not restricted

Total number of observations = 4

Total number of records with missing values = 0

Maximum number of iterations = 250

Relative Function Convergence has been set to: 1e-008

Parameter Convergence has been set to: 1e-008

User has chosen the log transformed model

Default Initial (and Specified) Parameter Values

Background = 0

Intercept = -15.0226

Slope = 4.37693

Asymptotic Correlation Matrix of Parameter Estimates

Intercept Slope
Intercept 1 -1
Slope -1 1

***The model parameter(s) background has been estimated at a boundary point, or has been specified by the user, and do not appear in the correlation matrix.

NA: This parameter’s variance has been estimated at zero.

Parameter Estimates

Variable Estimate Standard Error
Background 0 NA
Intercept 18.7737 5.12639
Slope 5.52218 1.51755

NA: indicates that this parameter has hit a bound implied by some inequality constraint and thus has no standard error.

Analysis of Deviance Table

Model Log (likelihood) Deviance Test DF P-value
Full model 12.8388
Fitted model 14.2231 2.76871 2 0.2505
Reduced model 27.6759 29.6742 3 <0.0001

AIC: 32.4462.

Goodness of Fit Scaled

Dose Estimated Probability Expected Observed Size Residual
22.8000 0.0659 0.659 0 10 0.8398
26.6000 0.2559 2.559 4 10 1.044
34.3000 0.7728 7.728 7 10 -0.5491
46.9000 0.9934 9.934 10 10 0.2587

Chi-square = 2.16; DF = 2; P-value = 0.3390.

Suggested Citation: "Appendix B Benchmark Concentration Calculations for Selected Chloroformates." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2016. Acute Exposure Guideline Levels for Selected Airborne Chemicals: Volume 20. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/23634.

Benchmark Dose Computation

Specified effect = 0.05

Risk Type = Extra risk

Confidence level = 0.95

BMD = 22.2386

BMDL = 18.0971

Image
FIGURE B-4 Prohibit model with 0.95 confidence level.
Suggested Citation: "Appendix B Benchmark Concentration Calculations for Selected Chloroformates." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2016. Acute Exposure Guideline Levels for Selected Airborne Chemicals: Volume 20. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/23634.
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Suggested Citation: "Appendix B Benchmark Concentration Calculations for Selected Chloroformates." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2016. Acute Exposure Guideline Levels for Selected Airborne Chemicals: Volume 20. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/23634.
Page 136
Suggested Citation: "Appendix B Benchmark Concentration Calculations for Selected Chloroformates." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2016. Acute Exposure Guideline Levels for Selected Airborne Chemicals: Volume 20. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/23634.
Page 137
Suggested Citation: "Appendix B Benchmark Concentration Calculations for Selected Chloroformates." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2016. Acute Exposure Guideline Levels for Selected Airborne Chemicals: Volume 20. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/23634.
Page 138
Suggested Citation: "Appendix B Benchmark Concentration Calculations for Selected Chloroformates." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2016. Acute Exposure Guideline Levels for Selected Airborne Chemicals: Volume 20. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/23634.
Page 139
Suggested Citation: "Appendix B Benchmark Concentration Calculations for Selected Chloroformates." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2016. Acute Exposure Guideline Levels for Selected Airborne Chemicals: Volume 20. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/23634.
Page 140
Suggested Citation: "Appendix B Benchmark Concentration Calculations for Selected Chloroformates." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2016. Acute Exposure Guideline Levels for Selected Airborne Chemicals: Volume 20. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/23634.
Page 141
Suggested Citation: "Appendix B Benchmark Concentration Calculations for Selected Chloroformates." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2016. Acute Exposure Guideline Levels for Selected Airborne Chemicals: Volume 20. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/23634.
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Next Chapter: Appendix C Derivation of AEGL Values for Selected Chloroformates
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