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Workshop on Tipping Points, Cascading Impacts, and Interacting Risks in the Earth System

Completed

The National Academies will convene a workshop on tipping points, cascading impacts, and interacting risks in the Earth system, building on the key characteristic and recommendations set forth in the recent report, Next Generation Earth Systems Science at the National Science Foundation. The workshop will apply Earth systems science approaches to explore understanding, prediction, and preparation for tipping points in the Earth system, and cultivate connections among the appropriate transdisciplinary research communities.

Description

A planning committee of the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine will plan a workshop to bring together experts to consider tipping points, cascading impacts, and interacting risks in the Earth system, incorporating the key characteristics laid out in the National Academies report, Next Generation Earth Systems Science at the National Science Foundation. The workshop will apply Earth systems science approaches to explore understanding, prediction, and preparation for tipping points in the Earth system, and cultivate connections among the transdisciplinary research community. The presentations and discussions at the workshop will be published as a workshop proceedings prepared by rapporteur in accordance with institutional guidelines. Specific questions to be discussed may include:

  • What are the key outstanding research questions on physical and social tipping points, the interacting risks of these tipping points, and their cascading impacts?
  • What are the major barriers and opportunities to accelerate progress to advance these areas of research?
  • What can be learned from historical analysis of past physical and social tipping points to inform understanding, prediction, and preparation in the future?
  • How can advances across the natural, social, computational, and engineering sciences be integrated to build practical understanding?
  • What new capabilities--computational, experimental, organizational, etc.--would lead to transformational advances in the understanding and prediction of tipping points, cascading impacts, and interacting risks?
  • How can research priorities be identified, studies be conducted, and response strategies be designed in a manner that is inclusive and equitable for a diversity of participants and engaged stakeholders? What additional perspectives and considerations could be incorporated into the understanding of interacting risks?
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