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The Future of Drought in the United States

BASC-WSTB_Drought_banner-corn.jpg | https://nasemoceprodcomm-nationalacademies.cec.ocp.oraclecloud.com/content/published/api/v1.1/assets/CONTEFDFD265C3674841A42FE2C6E5057CC7/native?cb=_cache_daba&format=webp&channelToken=d2dc71410b56f1d61406108f1738d0f4

In progress

This consensus study committee will consider approaches to understanding and assessing drought in the United States. This review will encompass data sources, metrics, and indicators for characterizing drought in the context of changing drought baselines and trends. The committee will recommend a framework for incorporating non-stationarity considerations into drought assessment in a changing climate, for use across a range of geographic regions and of spatial and temporal scales and to inform decision-making for short-term risk management and long-term adaptation.

News and updates

U.S. Needs New Drought Assessment Framework as Droughts Become More Severe and Unpredictable

News Release

As droughts in the United States become more frequent and longer-lasting, new assessment tools are needed. A new National Academies report examines how the field of drought assessment can better account for shifting drought conditions and proposes a framework to support drought monitoring, planning, and decision-making to meet future challenges.

Jun 30, 2026
Low water levels at Oroville Lake during a drought in Oroville, California
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