The U.S. system of government and the policies developed at federal, state, and local levels collectively shape the environment in which innovation takes place. For example, federal policies affecting capital formation and corporate governance play important roles in competitive performance.1 The range and diversity of these policies are substantial. They include government policies related to taxation, especially capital gains, fiscal and monetary matters, education and training, trade promotion and expansion, regulatory policies (e.g., for antitrust and the environment), intellectual property protection, government procurement, and export control.2 These policies can all directly affect the process of innovation, sometimes decisively.3
The pace of technology development also depends on a variety of interrelated factors, beginning with the performance of educational organizations and the quality of scientific and engineering research carried out by public and private institutions. The strength and depth of U.S. capital markets also play a major role in availability and cost of capital.4 Public policies designed to develop, commercialize, and absorb new technologies further strengthen prospects for improved welfare and rapid economic growth.5
The core mission of the Committee on Government-Industry Partnerships is examining how public policy can stimulate the wide range of benefits technological advance can provide—from more robust economic growth to better health, from more environmentally benign energy use to more effective and lower-cost national defense. The committee’s focus on the policies that support and facilitate the development and exchange of knowledge—as within and among private firms, universities, and national laboratories—is therefore both practical and necessary. This is especially true given the increasing emphasis on the link between science and economic growth.
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Box A. New Growth Theory and the Knowledge-Based Economy Neoclassical theories of growth long emphasized the role of labor and capital as inputs.6 Here, technology was exogenous—assumed to be determined by forces external to the economic system. More recent growth theories, by comparison, emphasize the role of technology and assume that technology is endogenous—that is, it is actually integral to the performance of the economic system. Contributions to this academic literature come from industrial organization as well as evolutionary and |
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institutional economics.7 Prominent among these endogenous explanations is the New Growth Theory, which has integrated and formalized many of these insights and observations into a coherent economic theory.8 Growth theory advocates underscore the importance of investing in new knowledge creation to sustain growth. It requires in turn that policy makers pay careful attention to the multiple factors that contribute to knowledge creation, including research and development, the education system, entrepreneurship, and an openness to trade and investment. Geography of economic development The new economic growth theory emphasizes the role of technology creation, believed to be characterized by significant growth externalities.9 A consequence of the renewed appreciation of growth externalities is the growing focus on the economic geography of economic development. With growth externalities coming about in part from the exchanges of knowledge among innovators, certain regions become centers for particular types of high-growth activities. Innovators are able to take advantage of the tacit knowledge available in such centers or clusters of activity to acquire relevant technological innovation and to address other business development issues rapidly.10 |
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Locational competition and trade policy The growing understanding of the importance of knowledge and the clusters that generate and retain it has led policy makers outside the United States to adopt trade, investment, and competition policies that while appearing to derive from U.S. precepts, are in fact much more focused on positive outcomes of the national economy, rather than on rules and processes. Even in the United States improved understanding of the institutional context of economic growth has led some economists to suggest limitations to traditional trade theory, particularly with respect to the reality of imperfect international competition.11 Further, economic analysis suggests that high technology is often characterized by increasing rather than decreasing returns, justifying to some the proposition that governments can capture permanent advantage in key industries by providing relatively small but potentially decisive support to assist national industries up the learning curve and down the cost curve. In part, this is why the economic literature now recognizes the relationship between technology policy and trade policy.12 Recognition of these linkages and the corresponding ability of governments to shift comparative advantage in favor of the national economy provide the intellectual underpinning for government support for high-technology industry.13 Spillovers Another widely recognized rationale for government support of high technology exists when technology generates benefits beyond those that can be captured by innovating firms, often referred to as spillovers.14 As a related and important example, consider the case in which the cost of a given technology may be prohibitive for individual companies even though expected benefits to society are substantial and widespread.15 |
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The increasing recognition of the dynamic element of technological innovation, in particular its cumulative nature, has provided the intellectual underpinning as well as the incentive to spur local, state, and national efforts to create competitive advantage for a region, country, or industry.16 Knowledge-based economics To a considerable extent, knowledge-based economies are distinguished by the changing way that firms do business and how governments respond in terms of policy.17 Key features of a knowledge-based economy include:
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U.S. policy makers at the state and federal levels have focused their attention increasingly on high-technology industry and the new technologies and entrepreneurial activities that support them.18 Their concern is supported by a growing
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16 |
The dynamic nature of international competition in high-technology industries is discussed in National Research Council, Conflict and Cooperation in National Competition for High-Technology Industry, 1996, op. cit., pp. 28-40. |
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17 |
“Just as the private sector develops innovative institutional arrangements to support and advance research, so should federal policy. In particular, one of the defining features of the knowledge economy is the increased importance of learning and innovation. Partnerships and alliances, among the private sector, universities, and government laboratories, play a key role in facilitating innovation. As a result, federal support for research in the knowledge economy needs to explicitly encourage research collaboration between industry, government labs and universities.” Kenan Patrick Jarboe and Robert D. Atkinson, “The Case for Technology in the Knowledge Economy; R&D, Economic Growth and the Role of Government,” Washington, D.C.: Progressive Policy Institute, June 1, 1998, at <http://www.ppionline.org/documents/CaseforTech.pdf>. |
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18 |
See for example, previous and current reports of the Council of Economic Advisors, Economic Report of the President, Washington, D.C.: USGPO, January 1995, 2001, and 2002. |
body of economic thought, noted above in Box A, that the composition of the economy matters and that high technology industries in particular bring special benefits to national economies.19 This political interest, particularly at the state level in the United States, reflects the intense interest of national and regional leaders elsewhere in the world in the composition and growth of their economies.
As previous National Research Council studies have described, high-technology firms are associated with rapid rates of innovation. Such firms in turn tend to gain market share, create new product markets, and use resources more productively than traditional industries do.20 High-technology firms perform more R&D than traditional firms do and generate more high-wage employment. In fact, these firms are distinguished by the high percentage of revenue devoted to research: 10 percent of revenues on R&D, in contrast to 3 percent of revenues on R&D for more traditional industries.21
Reflecting this investment, high-technology firms also create positive spillover effects, which are often locally concentrated. Spillovers benefit other commercial sectors by generating new products and processes that can lead to productivity gains. A substantial literature in economics underscores the potential for high returns from technological innovation, with private innovators obtaining rates of return in the 20-30 percent range and spillover (or social return) averaging about 50 percent.22
High-technology products are a major source of growth in the major industrialized countries. Such sectors as aerospace, biotechnology, and information systems contribute to the growing global market for high-technology manufactured goods. High-technology firms are also associated with high value-added manufacturing and with the creation of high-wage employment.23 Together these contributions provide the productivity gains that underpin recent economic performance. (See Box B for detail.) They also enhance the government’s capacity to
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19 |
See for example, Stephen Oliner and Daniel Sichel, “The Resurgence of Growth in the late 1990’s: Is Information Technology the Story?” Journal of Economic Perspectives 14(4) Fall 2000. Oliner and Sichel estimate that improvements in the computer industry’s own productive processes account for about a quarter of the overall productivity increase. They also note that the use of information technology by all sorts of companies accounts for nearly half the rise in productivity. See also Laura Tyson, Who’s Bashing Whom? Trade Conflict in High Tech Industries, Washington, D.C.: Institute for International Economics, 1992. Tyson notes that substantial advantages in trade accrue to nations that directly support strategic industries. |
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For an analysis of the role of new information technologies in the recent trends in high productivity growth, often described as the New Economy, see the Council of Economic Advisors, Economic Report of the President, H. Doc. 107-2, Washington, D.C.: USGPO, January 2001. |
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See National Research Council, Conflict and Cooperation, 1996, op. cit. Box A, pp. 33-35, lists additional reasons why countries are concerned about their high-technology industries. |
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For example, see Ishaq Nadiri, op. cit. See also, Council of Economic Advisors, Supporting Research and Development to Promote Economic Growth, op. cit. |
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Laura Tyson, Who’s Bashing Whom? Trade Conflict in High Technology Industries, op. cit. |
carry out core missions, including national defense, environmental protection, and development of new technologies for the production, management, and use of energy.24
The advantages of high technology industry are not without a downside. As is evident in the current economic climate, the high technology sector tends also to be characterized by considerable cyclicality. Pronounced swings in industry products and profits can precipitate layoffs and rapid depreciation in the value of stock, thus affecting the lives of ordinary citizens in very direct ways. At the same time, the industry’s long-term growth trend has been exceptionally positive, contributing significantly to employment and value creation.
Government support for new technologies contributes to continual national growth and industrial leadership. Policies encouraging partnerships and other cooperative arrangements among universities, industry, and the government have proven in some cases to be effective measures for fostering the development of new productivity-enhancing technologies.25 Often such policies are related to specific government missions and procurement in sectors such as health, transport, and defense.26 In other cases, limited support to promising technologies with widespread applications may be the most appropriate approach.27 Indeed, as we see next, there is a long tradition of federal support to industry, dating from the founding of the republic.
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Box B. The New Economy The term “New Economy” has been used extensively in recent years to describe the economic performance of the latter part of the 1990s. The term focuses on the dynamic of the U.S. economy as it capitalizes on new technologies, new opportunities, and in particular on national investments in computing, information, and communication technologies—or collectively, information technology. As we note below, use of the term New Economy also reflects the growing conviction that sub |
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stantial change has occurred in the structure of the U.S. economy and that this change may be permanent.28 This change, it is thought, hinges on dynamic increases in productivity and the correlating impact of investments in the information technology sector.29 These structural changes indicate that the New Economy is not a fad, but a long-term productivity shift of major significance. The introduction of advanced productivity-enhancing technologies obviously does not eliminate the business cycle. Instead, the term, “New Economy” refers to particular technological and structural changes that are having a positive impact on long-term productivity and growth.30 The decade of the 1990s witnessed rapid technological change in communications, computing, and information management. This phenomenon coincided with the sustained expansion of the U.S. economy through much of the 1990s.31 Along with other structural and policy explanations, this technological change is a key element in the strong growth in labor productivity, especially after 1995.32 The term New Economy captures the role that these new technologies are thought to play in contributing to the non-inflationary growth and high employment that characterized this period. Although the New Economy is itself a macro phenomenon, its underlying dynamics appear to combine elements of technological innovation, structural change, and public policy.
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28 |
Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, Is There a New Economy? A First Report on the OECD Growth Project. Paris: Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, June 2000, p. 17. See also, M.N. Baily and R.Z. Lawrence. “Do We Have an E-Conomy?” NBER Working Paper 8243, April 23, 2001, at <http://www.nber.org/papers/w8243>. |
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This is especially so for the computer hardware sector and perhaps for the Internet as well, although there is insufficient empirical evidence on the degree to which the Internet may be responsible. For a discussion of the impact of the Internet on economic growth see, “A Thinker’s Guide,” The Economist, March 30, 2000. For a broad study of investment in technology capital and its use in various sectors, see McKinsey Global Institute, U.S. Productivity Growth 1995-2000, Understanding the Contribution of Information Technology Relative to Other Factors. Washington, D.C.: McKinsey & Co., October 2001. |
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See Council of Economic Advisors, The Annual Report of the Council of Economic Advisors, Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 2000, p. 33. |
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See Dale Jorgenson and Kevin Stiroh, “Raising the Speed Limit: U.S. Economic Growth in the Information Age,” Brookings Papers-on-Economic-Activity; 0(1), 2000, pp. 125-211. |
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Ibid. |
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33 |
See Stephen Oliner and Daniel Sichel, “The Resurgence of Growth in the late 1990’s: Is Information Technology the Story?” op. cit. See also Alan Greenspan’s remarks before the White House Conference on the New Economy, Washington, D.C., April 5, 2000. <www.federalreserve.gov/BOARDDOCS/SPEECHES/2000/20000405.HTM>. |
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See, for example, Brookes Martin and Zaki Wahhaj, “The Shocking Economic Impact of B2B” Global Economic Paper, 37, Goldman Sachs, February 3, 2000. |
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For a discussion of the opportunities and challenges facing the New Economy, see National Research Council, Measuring and Sustaining the New Economy. D. Jorgenson and C. Wessner, eds., Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press, 2002. In particular, see comments by Dr. Vint Cerf, who notes that the ability of individuals to interact in potentially useful ways within the infrastructure of the still expanding Internet rests on its basic rule architecture: “The reason it can function is that all the networks use the same set of protocols. An important point is these networks are run by different administrations, which must collaborate both technically and economically on a global scale.” |
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The relevance of competition policy to the New Economy is manifested by the intensity of interest in the antitrust case, United States versus Microsoft, and associated policy issues. |
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See Richard Nelson, ed., National Innovation Systems, New York: Oxford University Press, 1993. |
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See National Research Council, Trends in Federal Support of Research in Graduate Education, Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press, 2001. |
Adapted from National Research Council, Measuring and Sustaining the New Economy, D. Jorgenson and C. Wessner, eds., Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press, 2002. |