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Emerging Trends in Aviation Safety

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In Section 132 of the Consolidated Appropriations Act of 2021, Congress requested the National Academies launch a 10-year study to provide ongoing, independent assessments of emerging risks in commercial air transportation. This project will identify, categorize, and analyze emerging safety trends in air transportation by examining FAA data and reports, safety culture assessments, accident and incident investigations, and more. The project will produce an inital report in mid- 2022, biennial reports through 2030, and a final report in 2031.

Events

Public Briefing for the Report: Emerging Hazards in Commercial Aviation - Ensuring Safety During Transformative Changes

  • October 24, 2024
  • 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM (ET)
  • Webinar
  • Past

As commercial aviation evolves, it is essential to ensure aviation safety as transformative technologies and new industry entrants emerge. Supporting the safe adoption of innovation will require updat...

Emerging Trends in Aviation Safety (Meeting on the Annual Safety Culture Survey)

  • September 8, 2023
  • 1:00 PM - 3:00 PM (ET)
  • Past

This was a virtual committee meeting with the primary objective of discussing the Federal Aviation Administration's (FAA) Annual Safety Culture Survey.

Emerging Trends in Aviation Safety Workshop #2 - Safety for New Innovations

  • August 29, 2023
  • 8:00 AM - 4:00 PM (ET)
  • Workshop
  • Past

This in-person workshop served both innovators in the aviation industry and the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) in anticipating safety issues for innovations in aviation technology and operation...

Emerging Trends in Aviation Safety Workshop on Safety Foresight

  • March 20, 2023
  • 8:00 AM - 4:00 PM (ET)
  • Workshop
  • Past

The committee on Emerging Trends in Aviation Safety is congressionally tasked (Sec 132 of the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2021) with identifying, categorizing, and analyzing emerging safety trend...

Public Briefing for the Report: Emerging Hazards in Commercial Aviation - Initial Assessment of Safety Data and Analysis Processes

  • August 18, 2022
  • 11:00 AM - 12:00 PM (ET)
  • Webinar
  • Past

Commercial aviation safety in the United States has improved more than 40-fold over the last several decades, according to Boeing. The biggest risks include managing safety in the face of climate chan...

Meeting

Emerging Trends in Aviation Safety (Phase 3, Meeting #9, In Person)

  • October 21 - 22, 2025
  • Closed
  • Meeting
  • Past

The committee convened for a closed meeting to refine their findings and recommendations for their upcoming report, which is set to be released in the summer of 2026. The committee discussed themes re...

Emerging Trends in Aviation Safety (Phase 3, Meeting #8)

  • September 19, 2025
  • 11:00 AM - 12:30 PM (ET)
  • Meeting
  • Past

In this meeting, committee members heard from safety and organizational culture expert Professor Carl Macrae. Professor Macrae provided insights on generational culture changes as it pertains to comme...

Emerging Trends in Aviation Safety (Meeting on the 2024 Annual Safety Culture Survey)

  • September 5, 2025
  • 1:00 PM - 2:00 PM (ET)
  • Meeting
  • Past

This was an open virtual committee meeting where representatives of the Federal Aviation Administration's (FAA) discussed the results of the 2024 Annual Safety Culture Assessment.

Emerging Trends in Aviation Safety (Phase 3, Meeting #7)

  • August 29, 2025
  • 11:00 AM - 12:30 PM (ET)
  • Closed
  • Meeting
  • Past

The committee met in closed session to discuss presentations and comments shared in earlier 2025 committee meetings regarding the safety implications of the changing workforce in commercial aviation....

Emerging Trends in Aviation Safety (Phase 3, Meeting #6)

  • July 11, 2025
  • 11:00 AM - 12:30 PM (ET)
  • Meeting
  • Past

This meeting focused on complexities of pilot performance, particularly the integration and training for non-technical skills, such as flight path management, communication, and decision-making under...

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