THE SOCIAL-ECOLOGICAL CONSEQUENCES OF FUTURE
WILDFIRE IN THE WEST: A WORKSHOP
The Beckman Center, 100 Academy Way
Irvine, CA 92617
JUNE 13–14, 2024
The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, in collaboration with the Royal Society of Canada, has organized a workshop on the future climate, social, and ecological drivers of wildfire in the western region of the United States and Canada. This workshop will focus on understanding and responding to increasing fire size, severity, and frequency since the 1970s. The public workshop will also focus on policy/practice considerations, research/data needs, and community engagement strategies as it seeks to identify gaps in knowledge, the value of filling those gaps, strategies for doing so, and what disciplines must work together.
JUNE 13, 2024
| 9:00–9:10 am | Welcoming Remarks and Introductions |
| Jonathan Fink (Committee Chair), Professor, Portland State University | |
| John Ben Soileau, Program Officer, National Academies Board on Environmental Change and Society | |
| 9:10–9:20 | Sponsor Welcome and Comments |
| Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation | |
| Genevieve Biggs, Program Director, Wildfire Resilience Initiative and Special Projects | |
| 9:20–10:10 | Keynote Address: Fire in the Past, Fire in the Mind, Fire in the Future |
| Objective: Provide a broad overview of the relationship between wildfire and human communities in the West | |
| Keynote Speaker: Stephen Pyne, Professor Emeritus, Arizona State University |
Keynote Respondents:
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| 10:10–11:15 | Session 1: The Trajectory of Wildfire in the West |
| Objective: Provide a broad evidence-based foundation to the workshop about the relationship between wildfire and human communities in the West from different and overlapping perspectives (e.g., climatic, ecological, social) in the context of the historical and future (midterm, long-term) trajectory of increasing wildfire size, severity, frequency, and synchronicity. | |
| Moderator: Ernesto Alvarado-Celestino (Committee Member), Research Associate Professor, University of Washington | |
Panelists:
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| 11:15–11:30 | BREAK |
| 11:30–12:30 | Session 2: The Range and Scope of Social-Ecological Consequences of Wildfire in the West |
| Objective: Describe the consequences of future wildfires on communities of different types (e.g., rural, overburdened, marginalized), at different geographic scales, and with varying levels of healthcare, co-morbidity, and resource availability/access. | |
| Moderator: A. Paige Fischer (Committee Member), Associate Professor, University of Michigan | |
Panelists:
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| 12:30-1:45 | Lunch and Film Screening |
| Film Screening: Contents Inventory, by Irene Lusztig | |
| Film Link: https://vimeo.com/561627771/0830d7cab1 | |
| 1:45–2:45 | Session 3: Case Studies |
| Objective: Present case studies of wildfires that bring together the perspectives of the workshop’s purpose and ground them in real-world experiences. | |
| Moderator: Oceana Puananilei Francis (Committee Member), Professor, University of Hawai’i at Manoa | |
Case Studies and Panelists:
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| 2:45-2:55 | BREAK |
| 2:55–4:25 | Session 4: Critical Gaps in the Social-ecological Understanding of Wildfire Consequences |
| Objective: Engage in mutual learning across relevant disciplines on the critical knowledge gaps concerning the social-ecological consequences of wildfire in the West. The focus shifts from earlier sessions (what we do know) to gaps in evidence or knowledge (what we don’t know). Speakers should articulate knowledge gaps that transcend their own specialty. | |
| Moderator: Alexandra D. Syphard, Senior Research Ecologist, Conservation Biology Institute | |
Panelist:
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| 4:25-4:35 | BREAK |
| 4:35–5:00 | Summary of Day One |
| Sarah McCaffrey, Research Social Scientist, U.S. Forest Service (retired) | |
| 4:55–5:05 | Closing Remarks |
| Jonathan Fink (Committee Chair), Professor, Portland State University | |
| 5:05 | ADJOURN |
| END OF DAY 1 | |
DAY 2: JUNE 14, 2024
| 9:00–9:05 | Welcoming Remarks |
| Jonathan Fink (Committee Chair), Professor, Portland State University | |
| 9:05–9:45 | Keynote Address: Challenges, Research Needs, and Gaps in Understanding the Social-Ecological Consequences of Wildfire |
| Objective: Provide emerging “over the horizon” challenges and associated research needs with regards to understanding the social-ecological consequences of future wildfires, as well as the identification/description of current (or foreseen) deficiencies, gaps, and weaknesses. | |
| Keynote Speaker: Susan Cutter (NAS), Professor, University of South Carolina | |
| 9:45–11:00 | Session 5: Stories from Impacted Communities |
| Objective: Engage with the perspectives and experiences of fire-impacted communities and populations (e.g., outdoor workers, migrant workers, elderly) to develop a preliminary inventory of shared community needs and knowledge gaps. |
Moderator: Frank Lake (Committee Member), Research Ecologist, U.S. Forest Service Panelists:
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| 11:00–11:15 | BREAK |
| 11:15-12:30 | Session 6: Fire Technology for Social Resilience |
| Objective: In the context of fire technologies, this session describes systems, technologies, and innovations that will enhance social resilience to wildfire, such as risk communication, wildfire prevention strategies, and evacuation processes. | |
| Moderator: Tamara U. Wall (Committee Member), Research Professor, Desert Research Institute | |
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| 12:30–1:30 | LUNCH |
| 1:30–2:45 | Session 7: Policy, Funding, and Action |
| Objective: Identify key needs in policy, funding, and action (e.g., mitigation strategies, insurance, community engagement, improved evaluation/metric capabilities) to better address the social-ecological consequences of wildfire in the West, from local to national and bi-national scales. | |
| Moderator: Gary Machlis (Committee Member), Professor, Clemson University | |
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| 2:45–3:30 | Workshop Themes Wrap-Up and Discussion |
| Objective: Present key themes from over the course of the workshop and then open the discussion for input from the audience and participants. | |
| Jonathan Fink (Committee Chair), Professor, Portland State University | |
| 3:30-3:35 | Closing Remarks |
| Jonathan Fink (Committee Chair), Professor, Portland State University | |
| 3:35 | MEETING ADJOURNS |