Cost, Effectiveness, and Deployment of Fuel Economy Technologies for Light-Duty Vehicles (2015)

Chapter: Appendix V: SI Engine Pathway NRC Estimates Direct Manufacturing Costs Alternative Pathway, Alternative High CR with Exhaust Scavenging, and Alternative EVAS Supercharger

Previous Chapter: Appendix U: SI Engine Pathway NHTSA Estimates Direct Manufacturing Costs and Total Costs
Suggested Citation: "Appendix V: SI Engine Pathway NRC Estimates Direct Manufacturing Costs Alternative Pathway, Alternative High CR with Exhaust Scavenging, and Alternative EVAS Supercharger." National Research Council. 2015. Cost, Effectiveness, and Deployment of Fuel Economy Technologies for Light-Duty Vehicles. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21744.

Appendix V

SI Engine Pathway – NRC Estimates – Direct Manufacturing Costs – Alternative Pathway, Alternative High CR with Exhaust Scavenging, and Alternative EVAS Supercharger

TABLE V.1 Alternative Midsize Car with SI Engine Pathway with High Compression Ratio with Exhaust Scavenging Technology Showing NRC Low Estimates for 2017, 2020, and 2025 (2010 dollars)

Midsize Car with SI Engine Pathway - NRC Low Most Likely Estimates - Direct Manufacturing Costs
Alternative Pathway - High CR with Exhaust Scavenging
Low Most Likely Cost Estimates Paired with High Most Likely Effectiveness Estimates
Possible Technologies% FC Reduction (%)FC Reduction MultiplierCumulative FC Reduction MultiplierFC (gal/100 mi)Cumulative Percent FC ReductionUnadjusted Combined (mpg)2017 Cost Estimates2020 Cost Estimates2025 Cost Estimates2017 Cost/Percent FC ($/%)
Null Vehiclea 1.0001.0003.2400.0%30.9    
Intake Cam Phasing
ICP
2.6%0.9740.9743.1562.6%31.7$37$35$31$14.23
Dual Cam Phasing
DCP (vs. ICP)
2.5%0.9750.9503.0775.0%32.5b$31$29$27$12.40
2008 Example Vehicle
Low Rolling Resistance Tires - 1
ROLL1
1.9%0.9810.9323.0186.8%33.1$5$5$5$2.63
Low Friction Lubricants - 1
LUB1
0.7%0.9930.9252.9977.5%33.4$3$3$3$4.29
6 Speed Automatic Transmissionc
6 SP AT with Improved Internals IATC
1.6%0.9840.9102.9499.0%33.9$37$34$31$23.13
Aero Drag Reduction - 1
AERO1
2.3%0.9770.8892.88211.1%34.7$39$37$33$16.96
Engine Friction Reduction - 1
EFR1
2.6%0.9740.8662.80713.4%35.6$48$48$48$18.46
Improved Accessories - 1
IACC1
1.2%0.9880.8562.77314.4%36.1$71$69$60$59.17
Electric Power Steering
EPS
1.3%0.9870.8452.73715.5%36.5$87$82$74$66.92
Mass Reduction - 2.5%
MR2.5 (-87.5 lbs)
0.8%0.9920.8382.71516.2%36.8$0$0$0$0.00
2016 Target 36.6 mpg
Discrete Variable Valve Lift
DVVL
3.6%0.9640.8082.61719.2%38.2$116$109$99$32.22
Mass Reduction - 2.5%-5.0%
MR5-MR2.5 (-87.5 lbs)
0.8%0.9920.8012.59619.9%38.5$0$0$0$0.00
Stoichiometric Gasoline Direct Injection
SGDI (Required for TRBDS)
1.5%0.9850.7892.55721.1%39.1$192$181$164$128.00
Suggested Citation: "Appendix V: SI Engine Pathway NRC Estimates Direct Manufacturing Costs Alternative Pathway, Alternative High CR with Exhaust Scavenging, and Alternative EVAS Supercharger." National Research Council. 2015. Cost, Effectiveness, and Deployment of Fuel Economy Technologies for Light-Duty Vehicles. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21744.
Possible Technologies% FC Reduction (%)FC Reduction MultiplierCumulative FC Reduction MultiplierFC (gal/100 mi)Cumulative Percent FC ReductionUnadjusted Combined (mpg)2017 Cost Estimates2020 Cost Estimates2025 Cost Estimates2017 Cost/Percent FC ($/%)
High Compression Ratio- Exh Scavenging
EXS
6.0%0.9400.7422.40425.8%41.6$250$250$250$41.67
Turbocharging & Downsizing - 1 (I-4 to I-4)
TRBDS1 33% DS 18 bar
BMEP
8.3%0.9170.6802.20432.0%45.4$288$271$245$34.70
Turbocharging & Downsizing - 2 (I-4 to I-3)
TRBDS2 50% DS 24 bar
BMEP
3.5%0.9650.6572.12734.3%47.0-$92-$89-$82-$26.29
8 Speed Automatic Transmissionc
8 SP AT
1.7%0.9830.6452.09135.5%47.8$56$52$47$32.94
Shift Optimizerc
SHFTOPT
0.7%0.9930.6412.07635.9%48.2$26$24$22$37.14
Improved Accessories - 2
IAAC2
2.4%0.9760.6252.02737.5%49.3$43$40$37$17.92
Low Rolling Resistance Tires
ROLL2
2.0%0.9800.6131.98638.7%50.4$58$46$31$29.00
Aero Drag Reduction - 2
AERO2
2.5%0.9750.5981.93640.2%51.6$117$110$100$46.80
Mass Reduction - 5.0%-10.0%
MR10-MR5 (-175 lbs)
4.6%0.9540.5701.84743.0%54.1$154$151$151$33.48
Low Friction Lub - 2 & Engine Friction Red - 2
LUB2_EFR2
1.3%0.9870.5631.82343.7%54.8$51$51$51$39.23
2025 Target 54.2 mpg
Continuously Variable Valve Lift
CVVL (vs. DVVL)
1.0%0.9900.5571.80544.3%55.4$58$55$49$58.00
High Efficiency Transmission
HEG1 & 2
5.4%0.9460.5271.70847.3%58.6$314$296$267$58.15
Cooled EGR - 1
CEGR1 50% DS 24 bar
BMEP
3.5%0.9650.5091.64849.1%60.7$212$199$180$60.57
Cylinder Deactivation
DEACD
0.0%1.0000.5091.64849.1%60.7    
Cooled EGR - 2 (I-3 to I-3)
CEGR2 56% DS 27 bar
BMEP
1.4%0.9860.5011.62549.9%61.5$364$343$310$260.00
Totals
Relative to Null Vehicle49.9%0.501    $2,565$2,431$2,233$51.45
Null Vehicle - 2008 MY Vehicle5.0%0.950    $68$64$58$13.51
2008 MY Vehicle - 2016 MY11.8%0.882    $290$278$254 
2017 MY- 2025 MY32.8%0.672    $1,259$1,196$1,115$38.34
Beyond 2025 MY10.9%0.891    $948$893$806$87.06

a Null vehicle: I4, DOHC, naturally aspirated, 4 valves/cylinder PFI fixed valve timing and 4 speed AT.

b An example midsize car in 2008 was 46.64 sq ft and had a fuel economy of 32.5 mpg. Its standard for MY2016 would be 36.6 mpg and for MY2025 would be 54.2 mpg.

c These technologies have transmission synergies included. Green highlighting indicates a technology order different than the NHTSA pathway, shown in Appendix S.

Suggested Citation: "Appendix V: SI Engine Pathway NRC Estimates Direct Manufacturing Costs Alternative Pathway, Alternative High CR with Exhaust Scavenging, and Alternative EVAS Supercharger." National Research Council. 2015. Cost, Effectiveness, and Deployment of Fuel Economy Technologies for Light-Duty Vehicles. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21744.

TABLE V.2 Alternative Midsize Car with SI Engine Pathway with High Compression Ratio with Exhaust Scavenging Technology Showing NRC High Estimates for 2017, 2020, and 2025 (2010 dollars)

Midsize Car with SI Engine Pathway - NRC High Most Likely Estimates - Direct Manufacturing Costs
Alternative Pathway - High CR with Exhaust Scavenging
High Most Likely Cost Estimates Paired with Low Most Likely Effectiveness Estimates
Possible Technologies% FC Reduction (%)FC Reduction MultiplierCumulative FC Reduction MultiplierFC (gal/100 mi)Cumulative Percent FC ReductionUnadjusted Combined (mpg)2017 Cost Estimates2020 Cost Estimates2025 Cost Estimates2017 Cost/Percent FC ($/%)
Null Vehiclea 1.0001.0003.2400.0%30.9    
Intake Cam Phasing
ICP
2.6%0.9740.9743.1562.6%31.7$43$41$36$16.54
Dual Cam Phasing
DCP (vs. ICP)
2.5%0.9750.9503.0775.0%32.5b$35$33$31$14.00
2008 Example Vehicle
Low Rolling Resistance Tires - 1
ROLL1
1.9%0.9810.9323.0186.8%33.1$5$5$5$2.63
Low Friction Lubricants - 1
LUB1
0.7%0.9930.9252.9977.5%33.4$3$3$3$4.29
6 Speed Automatic Transmissionc
6 SP AT with Improved Internals IATC
1.3%0.9870.9132.9588.7%33.8$37$34$31$28.46
Aero Drag Reduction - 1
AERO1
2.3%0.9770.8922.89010.8%34.6$39$37$33$16.96
Engine Friction Reduction - 1
EFR1
2.6%0.9740.8692.81513.1%35.5$48$48$48$18.46
Improved Accessories - 1
IACC1
1.2%0.9880.8582.78114.2%36.0$71$67$60$59.17
Electric Power Steering
EPS
1.3%0.9870.8472.74515.3%36.4$87$82$74$66.92
Mass Reduction - 2.5%
MR2.5 (-87.5 lbs)
0.8%0.9920.8412.72315.9%36.7$22$22$22$27.50
2016 Target 36.6 mpg
Discrete Variable Valve Lift
DVVL
3.6%0.9640.8102.62519.0%38.1$133$125$114$36.94
Mass Reduction - 2.5%-5.0%
MR5-MR2.5 (-87.5 lbs)
0.8%0.9920.8042.60419.6%38.4$66$66$66$82.50
Stoichiometric Gasoline Direct Injection
SGDI (Required for TRBDS)
1.5%0.9850.7922.56520.8%39.0$192$181$164$128.00
High Compression Ratio- Exh Scavenging
EXS
6.0%0.9400.7442.41125.6%41.5$250$250$250$41.67
Turbocharging & Downsizing - 1
TRBDS1 33% DS 18 bar
BMEP
7.7%0.9230.6872.22631.3%44.9$331$312$282$42.99
Turbocharging & Downsizing - 2
TRBDS2 50% DS 24 bar
BMEP
3.2%0.9680.6652.15433.5%46.4-$96-$92-$86-$30.00
8 Speed Automatic Transmissionc
8 SP AT
1.3%0.9870.6562.12634.4%47.0$151$126$115$116.15
Shift Optimizerc
SHFTOPT
0.3%0.9970.6542.12034.6%47.2$26$24$22$86.67
Improved Accessories - 2
IAAC2
2.4%0.9760.6392.06936.1%48.3$43$40$37$17.92
Low Rolling Resistance Tires
ROLL2
2.0%0.9800.6262.02837.4%49.3$58$46$31$29.00
Suggested Citation: "Appendix V: SI Engine Pathway NRC Estimates Direct Manufacturing Costs Alternative Pathway, Alternative High CR with Exhaust Scavenging, and Alternative EVAS Supercharger." National Research Council. 2015. Cost, Effectiveness, and Deployment of Fuel Economy Technologies for Light-Duty Vehicles. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21744.
Possible Technologies% FC Reduction (%)FC Reduction MultiplierCumulative FC Reduction MultiplierFC (gal/100 mi)Cumulative Percent FC ReductionUnadjusted Combined (mpg)2017 Cost Estimates2020 Cost Estimates2025 Cost Estimates2017 Cost/Percent FC ($/%)
Aero Drag Reduction - 2
AERO2
2.5%0.9750.6101.97739.0%50.6$117$110$100$46.80
Mass Reduction - 5%-10%
MR10-MR5 (-175 lbs)
4.6%0.9540.5821.88641.8%53.0$325$322$315$70.65
Low Friction Lub - 2 & Engine Friction Red - 2
LUB2_EFR2
1.3%0.9870.5751.86242.5%53.7$51$51$51$39.23
Cooled EGR - 1
CEGR1 50% DS 24 bar
BMEP
3.0%0.9700.5571.80644.3%55.4$212$199$180$70.67
2025 Target 54.2 mpg
High Efficiency Transmission
HEG1 & 2
4.9%0.9510.5301.71747.0%58.2$314$296$267$64.08
Continuously Variable Valve Lift
CVVL (vs. DVVL)
1.0%0.9900.5251.70047.5%58.8$67$63$56$67.00
Cylinder Deactivation
DEACD
0.0%1.0000.5251.70047.5%58.8    
Cooled EGR - 2
CEGR2 56% DS 27 bar
BMEP
1.4%0.9860.5171.67648.3%59.7$364$343$310$260.00
Totals
Relative to Null Vehicle48.3%0.517    $2,994$2,834$2,617$62.03
Null Vehicle - 2008 MY Vehicle5.0%0.950    $78$74$67$15.49
2008 MY Vehicle - 2016 MY11.5%0.885    $312$298$276 
2017 MY- 2025 MY33.7%0.663    $1,859$1,760$1,641$55.17
Beyond 2025 MY7.2%0.928    $745$702$633$103.92

a Null vehicle: I4, DOHC, naturally aspirated, 4 valves/cylinder PFI fixed valve timing and 4 speed AT.

b An example midsize car in 2008 was 46.64 sq ft and had a fuel economy of 32.5 mpg. Its standard for MY2016 would be 36.6 mpg and for MY2025 would be 54.2 mpg.

c These technologies have transmission synergies included. Green highlighting indicates a technology order different than the NHTSA pathway, shown in Appendix S.

Suggested Citation: "Appendix V: SI Engine Pathway NRC Estimates Direct Manufacturing Costs Alternative Pathway, Alternative High CR with Exhaust Scavenging, and Alternative EVAS Supercharger." National Research Council. 2015. Cost, Effectiveness, and Deployment of Fuel Economy Technologies for Light-Duty Vehicles. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21744.

TABLE V.3 Alternative Midsize Car with SI Engine Pathway with EAVS Supercharger Technology Showing NRC Low Estimates for 2017, 2020, and 2025 (2010 dollars)

Midsize Car with SI Engine Pathway - NRC Low Most Likely Estimates - Direct Manufacturing Costs
Alternative Pathway - EAVS Supercharger

Low Most Likely Cost Estimates Paired with High Most Likely Effectiveness Estimates
Possible Technologies% FC ReductionFC Reduction MultiplierCumulative FC Reduction MultiplierFC (gal/100 mi)Cumulative Percent FC ReductionUnadjusted Combined FE (mpg)2017 Cost Estimates2020 Cost Estimates2025 Cost Estimates2017 Cost/Percent FC ($/%)
Null Vehiclea 1.0001.0003.2400.0%30.9    
Intake Cam Phasing
ICP
2.6%0.9740.9743.1562.6%31.7$37$35$31$14.23
Dual Cam Phasing
DCP (vs. ICP)
2.5%0.9750.9503.0775.0%32.5b$31$29$27$12.40
2008 Example Vehicle
Low Rolling Resistance Tires - 1
ROLL1
1.9%0.9810.9323.0186.8%33.1$5$5$5$2.63
Low Friction Lubricants - 1
LUB1
0.7%0.9930.9252.9977.5%33.4$3$3$3$4.29
6 Speed Automatic Transmissionc
6 SP AT with Improved Internals IATC
1.6%0.9840.9102.9499.0%33.9$37$34$31$23.13
Aero Drag Reduction - 1
AERO1
2.3%0.9770.8892.88211.1%34.7$39$37$33$16.96
Engine Friction Reduction - 1
EFR1
2.6%0.9740.8662.80713.4%35.6$48$48$48$18.46
Electric Power Steering
EPS
1.3%0.9870.8552.77014.5%36.1$87$82$74$66.92
Mass Reduction - 2.5%
MR2.5 (-87.5 lbs)
0.8%0.9920.8482.74815.2%36.4$0$0$0$0.00
Discrete Variable Valve Lift
DVVL
3.6%0.9640.8182.64918.2%37.7$116$109$99$32.22
2016 Target 36.6 mpg
Mass Reduction - 2.5%-5.0%
MR5-MR2.5 (-87.5 lbs)
0.8%0.9920.8112.62818.9%38.1$0$0$0$0.00
Stoichiometric Gasoline Direct Injection
SGDI (Required for TRBDS)
1.5%0.9850.7992.58820.1%38.6$192$181$164$128.00
EAVS-Supercharger
EAVS-SC
26.0%0.7400.5911.91540.9%52.2$1,302$1,302$1,302$50.08
8 Speed Automatic Transmissionc
8 SP AT
1.7%0.9830.5811.88341.9%53.1$56$52$47$32.94
Shift Optimizerc
SHFTOPT
0.7%0.9930.5771.87042.3%53.5$26$24$22$37.14
Low Rolling Resistance Tires
ROLL2
2.0%0.9800.5661.83243.4%54.6$58$46$31$29.00
2025 Target 54.2 mpg
Aero Drag Reduction - 2
AERO2
2.5%0.9750.5511.78644.9%56.0$117$110$100$46.80
Mass Reduction - 5.0%-10.0%
MR10-MR5 (-175 lbs)
4.6%0.9540.5261.70447.4%58.7$154$151$151$33.48
Low Friction Lub - 2 & Engine Friction Red - 2
LUB2_EFR2
1.3%0.9870.5191.68248.1%59.4$51$51$51$39.23
Continuously Variable Valve Lift
CVVL (vs. DVVL)
1.0%0.9900.5141.66548.6%60.0$58$55$49$58.00
Suggested Citation: "Appendix V: SI Engine Pathway NRC Estimates Direct Manufacturing Costs Alternative Pathway, Alternative High CR with Exhaust Scavenging, and Alternative EVAS Supercharger." National Research Council. 2015. Cost, Effectiveness, and Deployment of Fuel Economy Technologies for Light-Duty Vehicles. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21744.
Possible Technologies% FC ReductionFC Reduction MultiplierCumulative FC Reduction MultiplierFC (gal/100 mi)Cumulative Percent FC ReductionUnadjusted Combined FE (mpg)2017 Cost Estimates2020 Cost Estimates2025 Cost Estimates2017 Cost/Percent FC ($/%)
High Efficiency Transmission
HEG1 & 2
5.4%0.9460.4861.57551.4%63.5$314$296$267$58.15
Cooled EGR - 1
CEGR1 50% DS 24 bar BMEP
3.5%0.9650.4691.52053.1%65.8$212$199$180$60.57
Cylinder Deactivation
DEACD
0.0%1.0000.4691.52053.1%65.8    
Cooled EGR - 2 (I-3 to I-3)
CEGR2 56% DS 27 bar
BMEP
1.4%0.9860.4631.49953.7%66.7$364$343$310$260.00
Totals
Relative to Null Vehicle53.7%0.463    $3,307$3,192$3,025$61.54
Null Vehicle - 2008 MY Vehicle5.0%0.950    $68$64$58$13.51
2008 MY Vehicle - 2016 MY13.9%0.861    $335$318$293 
2017 MY- 2025 MY30.8%0.692    $1,634$1,605$1,566$53.00
Beyond 2025 MY18.2%0.818    $1,270$1,205$1,108$69.81

a Null vehicle: I4, DOHC, naturally aspirated, 4 valves/cylinder PFI fixed valve timing and 4 speed AT.

b An example midsize car in 2008 was 46.64 sq ft and had a fuel economy of 32.5 mpg. Its standard for MY2016 would be 36.6 mpg and for MY2025 would be 54.2 mpg.

c These technologies have transmission synergies included. Green highlighting indicates a technology order different than the NHTSA pathway, shown in Appendix S.

Suggested Citation: "Appendix V: SI Engine Pathway NRC Estimates Direct Manufacturing Costs Alternative Pathway, Alternative High CR with Exhaust Scavenging, and Alternative EVAS Supercharger." National Research Council. 2015. Cost, Effectiveness, and Deployment of Fuel Economy Technologies for Light-Duty Vehicles. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21744.

TABLE V.4 Alternative Midsize Car with SI Engine Pathway with EAVS Supercharger Technology Showing NRC High Estimates for 2017, 2020, and 2025 (2010 dollars)

Midsize Car with SI Engine Pathway - NRC High Most Likely Estimates - Direct Manufacturing Costs
Alternative Pathway - EAVS Supercharger

High Most Likely Cost Estimates Paired with Low Most Likely Effectiveness Estimates
Possible Technologies% FC ReductionFC Reduction MultiplierCumulative FC Reduction MultiplierFuel Consumption (gal/100 mi)Cumulative Percent FC ReductionUnadjusted Combined FE (mpg)2017 Cost Estimates2020 Cost Estimates2025 Cost Estimates2017 Cost/Percent FC ($/%)
Null Vehiclea 1.0001.0003.2400.0%30.9    
Intake Cam Phasing
ICP
2.6%0.9740.9743.1562.6%31.7$43$41$36$16.54
Dual Cam Phasing
DCP (vs. ICP)
2.5%0.9750.9503.0775.0%32.5b$35$33$31$14.00
2008 Example Vehicle
Low Rolling Resistance Tires - 1
ROLL1
1.9%0.9810.9323.0186.8%33.1$5$5$5$2.63
Low Friction Lubricants - 1
LUB1
0.7%0.9930.9252.9977.5%33.4$3$3$3$4.29
6 Speed Automatic Transmissionc
6 SP AT with Improved Internals IATC
1.3%0.9870.9132.9588.7%33.8$37$34$31$28.46
Aero Drag Reduction - 1
AERO1
2.3%0.9770.8922.89010.8%34.6$39$37$33$16.96
Engine Friction Reduction - 1
EFR1
2.6%0.9740.8692.81513.1%35.5$48$48$48$18.46
Electric Power Steering
EPS
1.3%0.9870.8582.77914.2%36.0$87$82$74$66.92
Mass Reduction - 2.5%
MR2.5 (-87.5 lbs)
0.8%0.9920.8512.75614.9%36.3$22$22$22$27.50
Discrete Variable Valve Lift
DVVL
3.6%0.9640.8202.65718.0%37.6$133$125$114$36.94
2016 Target 36.6 mpg
Mass Reduction - 2.5%-5.0%
MR5-MR2.5 (-87.5 lbs)
0.8%0.9920.8142.63618.6%37.9$66$66$66$82.50
Stoichiometric Gasoline Direct Injection
SGDI (Required for TRBDS)
1.5%0.9850.8012.59619.9%38.5$192$181$164$128.00
EAVS-Supercharger
EAVS-SC
26.0%0.7400.5931.92140.7%52.0$1,302$1,302$1,302$50.08
8 Speed Automatic Transmissionc
8 SP AT
1.3%0.9870.5851.89641.5%52.7$151$126$115$116.15
Shift Optimizerc
SHFTOPT
0.3%0.9970.5841.89141.6%52.9$26$24$22$86.67
Low Rolling Resistance Tires
ROLL2
2.0%0.9800.5721.85342.8%54.0$58$46$31$29.00
Aero Drag Reduction - 2
AERO2
2.5%0.9750.5581.80644.2%55.4$117$110$100$46.80
2025 Target 54.2 mpg
Mass Reduction - 5%-10%
MR10-MR5 (-175 lbs)
4.6%0.9540.5321.72346.8%58.0$325$322$315$70.65
Low Friction Lub - 2 & Engine Friction Red - 2
LUB2_EFR2
1.3%0.9870.5251.70147.5%58.8$51$51$51$39.23
Cooled EGR - 1
CEGR1 50% DS 24 bar
BMEP
3.0%0.9700.5091.65049.1%60.6$212$199$180$70.67
High Efficiency Transmission
HEG1 & 2
4.9%0.9510.4841.56951.6%63.7$314$296$267$64.08
Suggested Citation: "Appendix V: SI Engine Pathway NRC Estimates Direct Manufacturing Costs Alternative Pathway, Alternative High CR with Exhaust Scavenging, and Alternative EVAS Supercharger." National Research Council. 2015. Cost, Effectiveness, and Deployment of Fuel Economy Technologies for Light-Duty Vehicles. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21744.
Possible Technologies% FC ReductionFC Reduction MultiplierCumulative FC Reduction MultiplierFuel Consumption (gal/100 mi)Cumulative Percent FC ReductionUnadjusted 2017 Combined FE Cost (mpg) Estimates2020 Cost Estimates2025 Cost Estimates2017 Cost/Percent FC ($/%)
Continuously Variable Valve Lift
CVVL (vs. DVVL)
1.0%0.9900.4791.55352.1%64.4 $67$63$56$67.00
Cylinder Deactivation
DEACD
0.0%1.0000.4791.55352.1%64.4   
Cooled EGR - 2
CEGR2 56% DS 27 bar
BMEP
1.4%0.9860.4731.53252.7%65.3 $364$343$310$260.00
Totals
Relative to Null Vehicle52.7%0.473   $3,697$3,559$3,376$70.12
Null Vehicle - 2008 MY Vehicle5.0%0.950   $78$74$67$15.49
2008 MY Vehicle - 2016 MY13.6%0.864   $374$356$330 
2017 MY- 2025 MY32.0%0.680   $1,912$1,855$1,800$59.72
Beyond 2025 MY15.2%0.848   $1,333$1,274$1,179$87.62

a Null vehicle: I4, DOHC, naturally aspirated, 4 valves/cylinder PFI fixed valve timing and 4 speed AT.

b An example midsize car in 2008 was 46.64 sq ft and had a fuel economy of 32.5 mpg. Its standard for MY2016 would be 36.6 mpg and for MY2025 would be 54.2 mpg.

c These technologies have transmission synergies included. Green highlighting indicates a technology order different than the NHTSA pathway, shown in Appendix S.

Suggested Citation: "Appendix V: SI Engine Pathway NRC Estimates Direct Manufacturing Costs Alternative Pathway, Alternative High CR with Exhaust Scavenging, and Alternative EVAS Supercharger." National Research Council. 2015. Cost, Effectiveness, and Deployment of Fuel Economy Technologies for Light-Duty Vehicles. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21744.
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Suggested Citation: "Appendix V: SI Engine Pathway NRC Estimates Direct Manufacturing Costs Alternative Pathway, Alternative High CR with Exhaust Scavenging, and Alternative EVAS Supercharger." National Research Council. 2015. Cost, Effectiveness, and Deployment of Fuel Economy Technologies for Light-Duty Vehicles. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21744.
Page 427
Suggested Citation: "Appendix V: SI Engine Pathway NRC Estimates Direct Manufacturing Costs Alternative Pathway, Alternative High CR with Exhaust Scavenging, and Alternative EVAS Supercharger." National Research Council. 2015. Cost, Effectiveness, and Deployment of Fuel Economy Technologies for Light-Duty Vehicles. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21744.
Page 428
Suggested Citation: "Appendix V: SI Engine Pathway NRC Estimates Direct Manufacturing Costs Alternative Pathway, Alternative High CR with Exhaust Scavenging, and Alternative EVAS Supercharger." National Research Council. 2015. Cost, Effectiveness, and Deployment of Fuel Economy Technologies for Light-Duty Vehicles. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21744.
Page 429
Suggested Citation: "Appendix V: SI Engine Pathway NRC Estimates Direct Manufacturing Costs Alternative Pathway, Alternative High CR with Exhaust Scavenging, and Alternative EVAS Supercharger." National Research Council. 2015. Cost, Effectiveness, and Deployment of Fuel Economy Technologies for Light-Duty Vehicles. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21744.
Page 430
Suggested Citation: "Appendix V: SI Engine Pathway NRC Estimates Direct Manufacturing Costs Alternative Pathway, Alternative High CR with Exhaust Scavenging, and Alternative EVAS Supercharger." National Research Council. 2015. Cost, Effectiveness, and Deployment of Fuel Economy Technologies for Light-Duty Vehicles. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21744.
Page 431
Suggested Citation: "Appendix V: SI Engine Pathway NRC Estimates Direct Manufacturing Costs Alternative Pathway, Alternative High CR with Exhaust Scavenging, and Alternative EVAS Supercharger." National Research Council. 2015. Cost, Effectiveness, and Deployment of Fuel Economy Technologies for Light-Duty Vehicles. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21744.
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Suggested Citation: "Appendix V: SI Engine Pathway NRC Estimates Direct Manufacturing Costs Alternative Pathway, Alternative High CR with Exhaust Scavenging, and Alternative EVAS Supercharger." National Research Council. 2015. Cost, Effectiveness, and Deployment of Fuel Economy Technologies for Light-Duty Vehicles. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21744.
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Next Chapter: Appendix W: Technologies, Footprints, and Fuel Economy for Example Passenger Cars, Trucks, and Hybrid Passenger Cars
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