LTPP Data Analysis: Improving Use of FWD and Longitudinal Profile Measurements (2024)

Chapter: Appendix J: Influencing Factors for FWD Deflection Measurements

Previous Chapter: Appendix I: EICM and LTPP Layer Modulus
Suggested Citation: "Appendix J: Influencing Factors for FWD Deflection Measurements." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2024. LTPP Data Analysis: Improving Use of FWD and Longitudinal Profile Measurements. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/28570.

APPENDIX J

Influencing Factors for FWD Deflection Measurements

Temperature

The following provides the AIC and regression analysis results for temperature adjustment on FWD measured deflections.

Table J-14. Variable Selection Using Minimum AIC — D1

FactorEstimatenDFSSF RatioProb > F
Intercept-0.006310.00000.00001.0000
Asphalt layer thickness-0.000810.00025.890.0159
Climatic zone (all)-0.001530.00086.970.0001
Climatic zone (DF and DNF)-0.001430.00086.970.0001
Climatic zone (WF, DF, and DNF)-0.000830.00086.970.0001
Layer 2 temperature0.000016.5e-60.16300.6862
PSC level (all categories)-0.002530.002319.615e-12
PSC level (good and excellent}0.000930.002319.615e-12
PSC level (good, excellent, and poor)-0.001430.002319.615e-12
Total rainfall0.000019.4e-60.23700.6268
Total thickness0.000019.5e-60.23900.6251

Table J-15. Regression Results for Temperature Adjustment — D1

FactorEstimateStd ErrorL-R Chi SqProb > Chi SqLower LimitUpper Limit
Intercept-0.00890.0003681.0071<.0001-0.0096-0.0083
Asphalt layer thickness (thick)-0.00070.00037.90530.0049-0.0013-0.0002
Asphalt layer thickness (thin)–-
Climatic zone (DF)0.00090.00044.79890.02850.0018-0.0001
Climatic zone (DNF)
Climatic zone (WF)-0.00120.00048.26850.00400.00200.0004
Climatic zone (WNF)0.00200.000514.54320.00010.00100.0031
PSC level (excellent)-0.00250.000434.4892<.0001-0.0033-0.0016
PSC level (fair)0.00330.000536.7573<.00010.00230.0044
PSC level (good)-0.00130.00057.81370.0052-0.0022-0.0004
PSC level (poor)

Note: “—” is the baseline variable for categorical variables. “L-R Chi Sq” is Likelihood Ratio Chi-Square.

Suggested Citation: "Appendix J: Influencing Factors for FWD Deflection Measurements." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2024. LTPP Data Analysis: Improving Use of FWD and Longitudinal Profile Measurements. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/28570.

Table J-16. Variable Selection Using Minimum AIC — D2

FactorEstimatenDFSSF RatioProb > F
Intercept-0.004810.00000.00001.0000
Asphalt layer thickness (all)-0.000810.000212.540.0004
Climatic zone (all)-0.000720.00025.390.0049
Climatic zone (DF and WNF)0.000011.8e-51.020.3139
Climatic zone (DNF and WF)0.000910.00015.970.0149
Layer 2 temperature0.000012.1e-51.180.2785
PSC level (excellent, good, and poor)-0.000620.00024.360.0134
PSC level (excellent, good, fair, and poor)-0.002230.001120.541.8e-12
PSC level (good and excellent)0.000710.00015.460.0199
Total rainfall0.000410.00001.950.1634
Total thickness (all)0.000810.00017.740.0056

Table J-17. Regression Results for Temperature Adjustment — D2

FactorEstimateStd ErrorL-R Chi SqProb > Chi SqLower LimitUpper Limit
Intercept0.00060.00130.21870.6400-0.00200.0032
Asphalt layer thickness (thick)0.00740.001238.8111<.00010.00510.0098
Asphalt layer thickness (thin)
Climatic zone (DF)0.0000.00160.20060.6542-0.00250.0039
Climatic zone (DNF)
Climatic zone (WF)-0.01530.002342.7150<.0001-0.0199-0.0107
Climatic zone (WNF)0.00850.002314.26430.00020.00410.0130
PSC (excellent)-0.00640.002010.08360.0015-0.0103-0.0024
PSC (fair)0.00690.002012.25500.00050.00300.0107
PSC (good)-0.00320.00163.95370.0468-0.00650.0000
PSC (poor)

Note: “—” is the baseline variable for categorical variables.

Table J-18. Variable Selection Using Minimum AIC — D3

FactorEstimatenDFSSF RatioProb > F
Intercept-0.005410.00000.00001.0000
Asphalt layer thickness (all)-0.000810.00028.130.0046
Climatic zone (all)0.000030.00000.22300.8801
Climatic zone (DF and WF)0.000030.00000.22300.8801
Climatic zone (WNF and DNF)0.00030.00000.22300.8801
Layer 2 temperature3.9e-517.5e-53.390.0664
PSC level (all)-0.003110.001150.745.5e-12
PSC level (excellent and good)0.000026.5e-51.45500.2347
PSC level (excellent, good, and poor)0.000026.5e-51.45500.2347
Total rainfall0.00011.5e-50.68500.4084
Total thickness (all)-0.000710.00016.090.0140
Suggested Citation: "Appendix J: Influencing Factors for FWD Deflection Measurements." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2024. LTPP Data Analysis: Improving Use of FWD and Longitudinal Profile Measurements. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/28570.

Table J-19. Regression Results for Temperature Adjustment D3

FactorEstimateStd ErrorL-R Chi SqProb > Chi SqLower LimitUpper Limit
Intercept0.00050.00080.39950.5273-0.00110.0022
Asphalt layer thickness (thick)0.00400.000729.3120<.00010.00260.0055
Asphalt layer thickness (thin)
Climatic zone (DF)0.00030.00110.06750.7950-0.00190.0024
Climatic zone (DNF)
Climatic zone (WF)-0.00740.001332.206<.0001-0.00990.0048
Climatic zone (WNF)0.00380.00165.57990.01820.00060.0069
PSC level (excellent)-0.00210.00123.22580.0725-0.00430.0002
PSC level (fair)0.00490.001215.6609<.00010.00250.0074
PSC level (good)-0.00370.001014.55610.0001-0.0056-0.0018
PSC level (poor)

Note: “—” is the baseline variable for categorical variables.

Table J-20. Variable Selection for Using Minimum AIC — D4

FactorEstimatenDFSSF RatioProb > F
Intercept-0.004910.00000.00001.0000
Asphalt layer thickness (thick-thin)-0.001010.00028.24600.0044
Climatic zone (DF-DNF}-0.000730.00033.53600.0152
Climatic zone (WF, DF, DNF-WNF}-0.000730.00033.53600.0152
Climatic zone (WF-DF and DNF)-0.000830.00033.53600.0152
Layer 2 temperature6e-510.00026.36900.0121
PSC (good, excellent, and poor-fair)-0.002430.000912.83106e-8
PSC (good and excellent-poor)-0.000130.000912.83106.48e-8
PSC (good-excellent)0.000440.000912.83106.48e-8
Total rainfall0.000018.8e-70.03700.8480
Total thickness (thick-thin)0.001010.00014.78200.0295

Table J-21. Regression Results for Temperature Adjustment — D4

FactorEstimateStd ErrorL-R Chi SqProb > Chi SqLower LimitUpper Limit
Intercept-0.00040.00050.50040.4793-0.00140.0007
Asphalt layer thickness (thick)0.00130.00049.90670.00160.00050.0021
Asphalt layer thickness (thin)
Climatic zone (DF)0.00110.0002.65450.10330.00020.0024
Climatic zone (DNF)
Climatic zone (WF)-0.00200.0008.98320.002-0.0033-0.000
Climatic zone (WNF)0.00050.00100.32710.5674-0.00130.0024
PSC level (excellent)0.00030.00060.28110.5960-0.00090.0015
PSC level (fair)0.00250.00089.25820.00230.00090.0042
PSC level (good)-0.00240.000614.64900.0001-0.0036-0.0011
PSC level (poor)

Note: “—” is the baseline variable for categorical variables.

Suggested Citation: "Appendix J: Influencing Factors for FWD Deflection Measurements." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2024. LTPP Data Analysis: Improving Use of FWD and Longitudinal Profile Measurements. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/28570.

Table J-22. Variable Selection for Using Minimum AIC — D5

FactorEstimatenDFSSF RatioProb > F
Intercept0.000110.00000.00001.0000
Asphalt layer thickness (all)-0.001710.000522.603.1e-6
Climatic zone (all)-0.001330.00068.751.4e-5
Climatic zone (DF and WF)-0.000530.00068.74701.4e-5
Climatic zone (WNF and DNF)-0.001330.00068.751.4e-5
Layer 2 temperature0.000013.1e-60.14700.7019
PSC level (all)-0.001730.00045.800.0007
PSC level (excellent and poor)-0.000130.00045.800.0007
PSC level (excellent, good, and poor)0.000330.00045.800.0007
Total rainfall0.000011.2e-60.05600.8138
Total thickness (all)0.001210.00017.050.0084

Table J-23. Regression Results for Temperature Adjustment — D5

FactorEstimateStd ErrorL-R Chi SqProb > Chi SqLower LimitUpper Limit
Intercept0.00000.00050.00050.9820-0.00090.0009
Asphalt layer thickness (thick)0.00070.00034.72680.02970.00010.0014
Asphalt layer thickness (thin)
Climatic zone (DF)0.0000.00061.37550.2409-0.00040.0018
Climatic zone (DNF)
Climatic zone (WF)-0.00080.00061.90990.1670-0.00190.0003
Climatic zone (WNF)-0.00080.00081.15830.2818-0.00230.0007
PSC level (excellent)0.00080.00061.90780.1672-0.00030.0019
PSC level (fair)0.00210.00078.20730.00420.00070.0036
PSC level (good)-0.00100.00053.34460.0674-0.00200.0001
PSC level (poor)

Note: “—” is the baseline variable for categorical variables.

Table J-24. Variable Selection Using Minimum AIC — D6

FactorEstimatenDFSSF RatioProb > F
Intercept0.000910.00000.00001.0000
Asphalt layer thickness (all)0.000013.6e-51.47200.2263
Climatic zone (all)-0.001830.001013.315.2e-8
Climatic zone (DNF and WF)-0.001130.001013.315.2e-8
Climatic zone (WNF and DF)-0.001330.001013.315.2e-8
Layer 2 temperature0.000011.3e-50.54400.4616
PSC level (all)-0.002330.001114.521.2e-8
PSC level (excellent and good)-0.000930.001114.521.2e-8
PSC level (excellent, good, and poor)-0.002430.001114.521.2e-8
Total rainfall0.000011.3e-50.55500.4573
Total thickness (all)0.000012.2e-70.00900.9237
Suggested Citation: "Appendix J: Influencing Factors for FWD Deflection Measurements." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2024. LTPP Data Analysis: Improving Use of FWD and Longitudinal Profile Measurements. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/28570.

Table J-25. Regression Results for Temperature Adjustment — D6

FactorEstimateStd ErrorL-R Chi SqProb > Chi SqLower LimitUpper Limit
Intercept0.00020.00030.31150.5768-0.00050.0008
Asphalt layer thickness (thick)-0.00020.00030.86980.3510-0.00070.0003
Asphalt layer thickness (thin)
Climatic zone (DF)-0.00030.00050.49680.4809-0.00120.0006
Climatic zone (DNF)
Climatic zone (WF)0.00060.00042.33350.1266-0.00020.0015
Climatic zone (WNF)-0.00090.00053.54890.0596-0.00190.0000
PSC level (excellent)0.00050.00051.29140.2558-0.00040.0014
PSC level (fair)0.00040.00060.62490.4292-0.00070.0016
PSC level (good)0.00060.00041.83120.1760-0.00030.0014
PSC level (poor)

Note: “—” is the baseline variable for categorical variables.

Moisture

The following provides the AIC and regression analysis results for moisture adjustment on FWD measured deflections.

Table J-26. Variable Selection Using Minimum AIC — D1

FactorEstimatenDFSSF RatioProb > F
Intercept2.2410.00000.00001.0000
Average base moisture0.000010.85251.44800.2290
Average subgrade moisture0.0334141.7970.967.7e-17
Average deep subgrade moisture-0.011719.1015.448.8e-5
Climatic zone (all)-0.2579360.8334.431.4e-21
Climatic zone (DNF, WNF, and WF)-0.1487360.8334.431.4e-21
Climatic zone (WNF and WF)-0.1181360.8334.431.4e-21
Total rainfall0.040411.452.460.1168

Table J-27. Regression Results for Moisture Adjustment — D1

FactorEstimateStd ErrorL-RProb >LowerUpper
Chi SqChi SqLimitLimit
Intercept2.17140.04402432.48<.00012.092.26
Average subgrade moisture0.02250.0018149.61<.00010.01890.0261
Climatic zone (DF)0.27690.031378.18<.00010.21550.3383
Climatic zone (WF)0.08220.02848.390.00380.02650.1378
Climatic zone (WNF)-0.03710.03401.190.2744-0.10380.0295
Climatic zone (DNF)
Total rainfall0.04930.02563.720.05390.00080.0994
Suggested Citation: "Appendix J: Influencing Factors for FWD Deflection Measurements." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2024. LTPP Data Analysis: Improving Use of FWD and Longitudinal Profile Measurements. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/28570.

Table J-28. Variable Selection Using Minimum AIC —D2

FactorEstimatenDFSSF RatioProb > F
Intercept2.0810.00000.00001.0000
Average base moisture-0.011313.988.640.0034
Average subgrade moisture0.0264122.7649.333.3e-12
Average deep subgrade moisture-0.004210.95082.060.1514
Climatic zone (all)-0.2554333.396324.133.1e-15
Climatic zone (WNF, WF, and DF)-0.1217333.4024.133.1e-15
Climatic zone (WNF and WF)-0.0784333.4024.133.1e-15
Total rainfall0.049211.6183.510.0614

Table J-29. Regression Results for Moisture Adjustment — D2

FactorEstimateStd ErrorL-R Chi SqProb > Chi SqLower LimitUpper Limit
Intercept2.080.03992719.54<.00012.002.16
Average subgrade moisture0.02280.0017186.86<.00010.01950.0261
Climatic zone (DF)0.26580.028487.42<.00010.21010.3216
Climatic zone (WF)0.10990.025718.30<.00010.05950.1603
Climatic zone (WNF)-0.08250.03087.180.0074-0.1428-0.0221
Climatic zone (DNF)
Total rainfall0.04330.02313.500.0612-0.00210.0886

Table J-30. Variable Selection Using Minimum AJC —D3

FactorEstimatenDFSSF RatioProb > F
Intercept1.821210.00000.00001.0000
Average base moisture0.000010.28830.61300.4338
Average subgrade moisture0.0234116.4935.074.1e-9
Average deep subgrade moisture-0.005011.382.940.0866
Climatic zone (all)-0.3252358.9541.80109.7e-26
Climatic zone (WNF, WF, and DF)-0.1693358.9541.80109.7e-26
Climatic zone (WNF and WF)-0.1063358.9541.80109.7e-26
Total rainfall0.056212.00444.260.0391

Table J-31. Regression Results for Moisture Adjustment —D3

FactorEstimateStd ErrorL-R Chi SqProb > Chi SqLower LimitUpper Limit
Intercept1.91200.03762591.9840<.00011.83831.9856
Average subgrade moisture0.02400.0016233.0114<.00010.02090.0271
Climatic zone (DF)0.28240.0266112.7459<.00010.23020.3345
Climatic zone (WF)0.13390.024130.8306<.00010.08660.1812
Climatic zone (WNF)-0.14590.028825.6953<.0001-0.2024-0.0895
Climatic zone (DNF)
Total rainfall0.06400.02168.76180.00310.02160.1065
Suggested Citation: "Appendix J: Influencing Factors for FWD Deflection Measurements." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2024. LTPP Data Analysis: Improving Use of FWD and Longitudinal Profile Measurements. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/28570.

Table J-32. Variable Selection Using Minimum AIC —D4

FactorEstimatenDFSSF RatioProb > F
Intercept1.6910.00000.00001.0000
Average base moisture-0.008411.794.040.0447
Average subgrade moisture0.0272154.65123.313.5e-27
Average deep subgrade moisture0.000010.04840.10900.7413
Climatic zone (all)-0.3030360.9245.827.6e-28
Climatic zone (DNF and WNF)-0.2116360.9245.827.6e-28
Climatic zone (WF and DF)-0.0927360.9245.827.6e-28
Total rainfall0.101214.5410.240.0014

Table J-33. Regression Results for Moisture Adjustment — D4

FactorEstimateStd ErrorL-R Chi SqProb > Chi SqLower LimitUpper Limit
Intercept1.68230.03472357.01<.00011.611.75
Average subgrade moisture0.02340.0014260.55<.00010.02060.0262
Climatic zone (DF)0.29430.0247141.52<.00010.24580.3429
Climatic zone (WF)0.16150.022451.87<.00010.11760.2055
Climatic zone (WNF)-0.16750.026739.27<.0001-0.2200-0.1151
Climatic zone (DNF)
Total rainfall0.07780.020114.930.00010.03830.1173

Table J-34. Variable Selection Using Minimum AIC — D5

FactorEstimatenDFSSF RatioProb > F
Intercept1.5310.00000.00001.0000
Average base moisture-0.009112.216.69900.0098
Average subgrade moisture0.0224151.46155.901.2e-33
Climatic zone (all)-0.3040365.9766.611e-39
Climatic zone (DNF and WNF)-0.1430365.9766.611e-39
Climatic zone (WF and DF)-0.0489365.9766.611e-39
Total rainfall0.144718.2124.887.1e-7

Table J-35. Regression Results for Moisture Adjustment — D5

FactorEstimateStd ErrorL-R Chi SqProb > Chi SqLower LimitUpper Limit
Intercept1.41290.03701460.04<.00011.34041.4854
Average subgrade moisture0.02250.0015217.48<.00010.01950.0255
Climatic zone (DF)0.30490.0261136.64<.00010.25370.3560
Climatic zone (WF)0.19880.024068.80<.00010.15180.2457
Climatic zone (WNF)-0.13060.027921.98<.0001-0.1852-0.0760
Climatic zone (DNF)
Total rainfall0.08160.020815.36<.00010.04080.1224
Suggested Citation: "Appendix J: Influencing Factors for FWD Deflection Measurements." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2024. LTPP Data Analysis: Improving Use of FWD and Longitudinal Profile Measurements. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/28570.

Table J-36. Variable Selection Using Minimum AIC — D6

FactorEstimatenDFSSF RatioProb > F
Intercept0.880010.00000.00001.0000
Average base moisture-0.005210.60822.22200.1364
Average subgrade moisture0.02149138.06139.044.3e-30
Climatic zone (all)-0.2951339.3147.877.3e-29
Climatic zone (WNF, WF, and DF)-0.1522339.3147.877.3e-29
Climatic zone (WNF and WF)-0.1256339.3147.877.3e-29
Total rainfall0.129219.2533.798.3e-9

Table J-37. Regression Results for Moisture Adjustment — D6

FactorEstimateStd ErrorL-R Chi SqProb > Chi SqLower LimitUpper Limit
Intercept0.99010.0627250.09<0.0001*0.86721.11
Intercept0.82060.0359521.5993<.00010.75010.8910
Average subgrade moisture0.02480.0015286.7422<.00010.02190.0276
Climatic zone (DF)0.37350.0248227.5699<.00010.32500.4221
Climatic zone (WF)0.15310.023841.4474<.00010.10650.1997
Climatic zone (WNF)-0.08380.02669.94420.0016-0.1359-0.0317
Climatic zone (DNF)
Suggested Citation: "Appendix J: Influencing Factors for FWD Deflection Measurements." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2024. LTPP Data Analysis: Improving Use of FWD and Longitudinal Profile Measurements. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/28570.
Page 257
Suggested Citation: "Appendix J: Influencing Factors for FWD Deflection Measurements." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2024. LTPP Data Analysis: Improving Use of FWD and Longitudinal Profile Measurements. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/28570.
Page 258
Suggested Citation: "Appendix J: Influencing Factors for FWD Deflection Measurements." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2024. LTPP Data Analysis: Improving Use of FWD and Longitudinal Profile Measurements. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/28570.
Page 259
Suggested Citation: "Appendix J: Influencing Factors for FWD Deflection Measurements." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2024. LTPP Data Analysis: Improving Use of FWD and Longitudinal Profile Measurements. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/28570.
Page 260
Suggested Citation: "Appendix J: Influencing Factors for FWD Deflection Measurements." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2024. LTPP Data Analysis: Improving Use of FWD and Longitudinal Profile Measurements. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/28570.
Page 261
Suggested Citation: "Appendix J: Influencing Factors for FWD Deflection Measurements." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2024. LTPP Data Analysis: Improving Use of FWD and Longitudinal Profile Measurements. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/28570.
Page 262
Suggested Citation: "Appendix J: Influencing Factors for FWD Deflection Measurements." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2024. LTPP Data Analysis: Improving Use of FWD and Longitudinal Profile Measurements. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/28570.
Page 263
Suggested Citation: "Appendix J: Influencing Factors for FWD Deflection Measurements." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2024. LTPP Data Analysis: Improving Use of FWD and Longitudinal Profile Measurements. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/28570.
Page 264
Next Chapter: Guidelines for Adjusting FWD Deflections on Asphalt Pavements to Account for Temperature and Moisture Conditions
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